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22 Apr12:30
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Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg Prediction Bundesliga

Rapid Vienna vs Hartberg prediction: quick rematch, tight margins

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction time comes fast this week: they meet again on 2026-04-22 at 17:30 GMT (18:30 local) at Allianz Stadion, and it feels like the Bundesliga schedule is having a little joke. These sides literally just saw each other on April 19 in Hartberg, sharing a lively 2-2 draw, so expect fewer surprises and more chess moves in the rematch.

The first meeting of this back-to-back mini-series had a clear theme: Hartberg were sharp and brave, Rapid were stubborn and refused to fall. Hartberg led twice, with Lukas Spendlhofer nodding in a key goal right before the break (45+1’) after Konstantin Schopp’s service, and Luca Pazourek putting them ahead again early in the second half. Rapid answered both times, showing that even when the plan breaks, the mentality does not.

What the quick turnaround changes

When teams play twice in a few days, the “mystery factor” disappears. Coaches tend to protect the middle, reduce risks in build-up, and target the few match-ups that worked last time. Rapid should have more ball (our model projects 65% possession), but Hartberg have already shown they can hurt them without owning the game.

  • Rapid’s likely approach: long spells of possession, patient attacks, and pressure after losing the ball.
  • Hartberg’s likely approach: compact shape, quick breaks, and set-piece focus (it paid off recently).
  • Discipline and rhythm: we expect a slightly feisty but controlled game (projected yellows: 2 for Rapid, 1 for Hartberg).

On paper, this is a mismatch in resources: Rapid’s squad value sits around €43.20m vs Hartberg’s €12.98m. But the Championship Group has been weird in the best way. Rapid’s 0-1 away win at Salzburg on 2026-03-15 (at massive 5.5 odds) proved they can win ugly. Hartberg’s 0-0 at Sturm Graz on 2026-04-12 (they were priced at 5.8 to win) showed they can also shut the door when needed.

Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction: odds and AI betting tips

The 1X2 odds say Rapid are favorites: 1.67 home win, 4.05 draw, 5.8 away win. Yet our Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction leans against the market: the most likely 1X2 outcome in our numbers is 2 (Hartberg win) at 5.8, with a modest confidence score of 2.1. That fits the “they know each other too well” angle, where one efficient away spell can decide it.

Main betting angle: keep it under control

NerdyTips’ best pick is Under 3.5 goals at 1.37, with a 7.5/10 trust rating. Our own under/over model agrees: under 3.5 with confidence 7.5. Even after that 2-2 on April 19, the rematch often tightens up.

  • Projected shots: Rapid 10, Hartberg 9
  • On target: Rapid 3, Hartberg 1 (suggests limited clear chances)
  • Corners: 4-3 (7 total), not a constant wave of pressure

Correct score lean

Our AI predicts a 1:2 final score, with 0:1 at halftime. That’s basically the story of an away team staying efficient while Rapid have more of the ball but fewer clean finishes. For bettors, think “pragmatic” markets: under 3.5 goals first, then consider small stakes on the away win at 5.8 if you like value. For context in the head to head, they drew 1-1 on 2026-02-07 too, so the draw at 4.05 is also very live if you prefer safety over spice.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg

U3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -270
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 480

TSV Hartberg is expected to win with odds of 480
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -106

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 182

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.16
xG
0.54
65%
Ball Possession
35%
10
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
1
3
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.95
Expected Goals
0.64
2.4
Total Goals
1.3
1.3
Goals Scored
0.6
1.1
Goals Against
0.7
57%
Possession
39%
9.2
Total Shots
9
2.9
Shots on Goal
2.3
3.4
Shots off Goal
4
10.3
Fouls
11.8
4.1
Corners
3.3
2.6
Offsides
1
2.7
Yellow Cards
1.56
489
Total Passes
317

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
1
8
Over 1.5 Goals
4
2
Over 2.5 Goals
2
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
4
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Rapid Vienna
10 - 5 - 9
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 31-Aug-25
0:1
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 09-Mar-25
2:1
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 31-Mar-24
0:3
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 11-Nov-23
1:0
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 12-Nov-22
1:2
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 24-Oct-21
1:1
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 06-Dec-20
1:3
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 17-Jun-20
0:1
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 23-Feb-20
2:2
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 20-Oct-18
3:0
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna

Profile time Recent Matches of Rapid Vienna

22 AprL Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 0 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 2
19 AprD TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 2 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 2
12 AprD Austria V Austria V 1 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 1
05 AprL Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2
22 MarW SK Rapid SK Rapid 4 LASK LASK 2
15 MarW Salzburg Salzburg 0 SK Rapid SK Rapid 1
08 MarW SK Rapid SK Rapid 1 Salzburg Salzburg 0
01 MarD Altach Altach 1 SK Rapid SK Rapid 1
21 FebW SK Rapid SK Rapid 2 Wolfsberg Wolfsberg 0
15 FebL Austria V Austria V 2 SK Rapid SK Rapid 0

Profile time Recent Matches Of TSV Hartberg

22 AprWRapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 0 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 2
19 AprDTSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 2 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 2
12 AprDSturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 0
05 AprLTSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 1 Red B Red B 2
22 MarLHartberg Hartberg 0 Austria V Austria V 1
13 MarDLASK LASK 0 Hartberg Hartberg 0
08 MarDHartberg Hartberg 1 BW Linz BW Linz 1
01 MarDSalzburg Salzburg 0 Hartberg Hartberg 0
21 FebWHartberg Hartberg 1 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0
14 FebDHartberg Hartberg 0 Altach Altach 0

Austria - Bundesliga Austria - Bundesliga

Team M G P
1 Sturm GrazSturm Graz2843-3129
2 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull2853-3428
3 Lask LinzLask Linz2843-3927
4 Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna2834-3424
5 TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg2834-2922
6 Austria ViennaAustria Vienna2841-4622
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