Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Welcome to our Senegal vs Mauritania prediction—a story of ambition, tactical tweaks, and a few statistical surprises as these two West African neighbors meet on October 14, 2025, at Abdoulaye Wade Stadium. With World Cup qualification on the line for Senegal, and Mauritania eager to play spoiler, this preview brings you everything you need to know: recent form, tactical news, head to head history, and our AI-powered betting tips. Ready to mark your calendar for 20:00 GMT? Let’s dive in!
Senegal, or the Lions of Teranga, are roaring at the top of Group B, sitting pretty with 21 points from 9 matches. A win here officially books their ticket to the 2026 World Cup in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Their last outing was nothing short of a statement: a 5-0 demolition of South Sudan, with Ismaïla Sarr bagging a brace and big names like Sadio Mané, Nicolas Jackson, and Cherif Ndiaye joining the goal parade.
But it’s not all sunshine. The squad, valued at a hefty €260.00m, has been hit by a string of injuries. Defensive rock Abdou Diallo is out after back surgery, while midfield engine Lamine Camara is sidelined with an ankle sprain. Habib Diarra is also missing after surgery, and Pape Gueye’s suspension status is still a question mark. The good news? Moussa Niakhaté is back in training, and leaders like Mané and Kalidou Koulibaly are fit to steer the ship.
Coach Pape Thiaw, known for his pragmatic approach, will need to shuffle his midfield. Expect a blend of experienced heads and hungry youngsters, but don’t worry—Senegal’s attacking firepower is still very much intact.
Mauritania, under coach Amir Abdou, are tied with Togo on 7 points in Group B. Their last qualifier saw them grind out a 0-0 draw with Sudan—a result that keeps their hopes alive, if only mathematically. The squad, valued at €10.82m, might not have the big names, but they’ve shown grit and a knack for surprises. Remember their 2-2 draw away at Togo? Not bad for a team with pre-match odds of 5.15!
Abdou’s side is healthy and motivated. Key contributors like Aboubakary Koita, Papa Ndiaga Yade, Aly Abeid, and Abdallahi Mahmoud have all found the net during this campaign. The defense, marshaled by Ibrahima Keita and Lamine Ba, will need to be at their best to keep Senegal’s stars at bay. Mauritania’s approach? Stay compact, frustrate the favorites, and look for opportunities on the break.
Coach Abdou, who recently extended his contract to 2026, has made it clear: Mauritania are chasing history, and they’re not just here to make up the numbers.
When it comes to head to head stats, Senegal have a clear upper hand. Out of 19 meetings, Senegal have won 13, drawn 5, and Mauritania have managed just one victory. Their most recent encounter, on June 9, 2024, ended 1-0 in favor of Senegal. The odds for that match were much closer than today: Senegal at 1.68, Mauritania at 5.35.
So, history is not on Mauritania’s side, but as we’ve seen, football loves a good underdog story.
Let’s get to the heart of our Senegal vs Mauritania prediction: the betting odds and AI-powered tips. Bookmakers have made their stance clear:
That’s as lopsided as it gets—Senegal are overwhelming favorites. And our NerdyTips AI agrees: the 1x2 prediction is a home win (1), with a trust level of 10.0/10 and odds of 1.14. In plain terms, anything but a Senegal victory would be a shock akin to finding snow in Dakar.
For those looking for more value, the AI’s best tip is HS2+ (Senegal to score at least two goals), rated 10.0/10 for trust, with odds of 1.3. Senegal’s recent attacking form and Mauritania’s tendency to concede against stronger sides make this a logical pick.
If you’re a fan of total goals markets, here’s a twist: our AI recommends under 3.5 goals (trust rating: 1.3, odds: 1.53). Why? Senegal are likely to control the game, but Mauritania’s defensive approach could keep the scoreline respectable. Our predicted final score: 2-0 to Senegal, with a 1-0 lead at halftime.
All signs point to a comfortable Senegal win, but Mauritania have shown they can punch above their weight. With both teams’ tactical approaches, expect Senegal to dictate play and Mauritania to defend deep, hoping for a rare counter-attack opportunity. If you’re betting, follow the numbers—but keep an eye out for the unexpected. After all, football is the sport where “never say never” is more than just a cliché.
That wraps up our Senegal vs Mauritania prediction. Enjoy the match, and may your bets be as safe as a Koulibaly tackle!
Read More
Mauritania no motivation!
HS2+ -333
Senegal is expected to score at least 2 goals with odds of -3331 -714
Senegal is expected to win with odds of -714Under 3.5 -227
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -270
At least one team is not expected to score
2:0
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4
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0
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1
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 Mauritania |
09-Jun-24
0:1
| Senegal  |
| Senegal |
27-Jan-23
1:0
| Mauritania |
| Senegal |
11-May-17
2:0
| Mauritania |
| Mauritania |
20-Jul-13
2:0
| Senegal |
| Senegal |
06-Jul-13
1:0
| Mauritania |
World - World Cup - Qualification Africa| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Senegal | 10 | 22-3 | 24 |
| 2 |
Congo DR | 10 | 15-6 | 22 |
| 3 |
Sudan | 10 | 8-6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Togo | 10 | 5-10 | 8 |
| 5 |
Mauritania | 10 | 4-13 | 7 |
| 6 |
South Sudan | 10 | 3-19 | 5 |
