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Match Prediction

Sibenik vs HNK Gorica Prediction

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Croatia flag Croatia

Sibenik

€7.60m

28 Apr13:15
0 : 0

HNK Gorica

€12.88m

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Sibenik vs HNK Gorica Prediction HNL

Sibenik vs HNK Gorica Prediction: A Tight Battle at Stadion Šubićevac

Monday night football in Croatia’s HNL brings us an intriguing Sibenik vs HNK Gorica prediction—a match that might not decide the title, but could shuffle the mid-table drama. With just seven points separating these two sides, and both coming off surprising recent results, this clash promises tension, tactical chess, and likely… not many goals. Let’s break it down like we’re debating over a pint at the pub.

Recent Form: Momentum vs Miracles

Sibenik, sitting 10th with 28 points, are the slight favorites here (odds 2.7). They’ve shown grit lately, holding HNK Rijeka to a 1-1 draw as massive underdogs (odds 10.0!). Meanwhile, Gorica pulled off a stunner—beating Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 last week at odds of 6.25. But here’s the twist:

  • Gorica’s win was heroic, but unsustainable? Dinamo dominated possession (68%) and shots (17 vs. Gorica’s 5). Lady Luck was generous.
  • Sibenik’s draw was more controlled. They matched Rijeka in shots (10 each) and kept composure defensively.

This head-to-head leans Sibenik too—they won 1-0 in November. History whispers, but current form shouts. Which voice will matter more?

The Data Dive: Why Under 2.7 Goals Ticks All Boxes

NerdyTips’ AI crunched the numbers, and the verdict is clear: under 2.7 goals (odds 1.53) is the smart pick. Here’s why:

  1. League trends: Only 48.2% of HNL matches see over 2.7 goals. Defensive pragmatism often wins.
  2. Team styles: Sibenik’s projected 55% possession suggests patience, not chaos. Gorica will sit deep and counter.
  3. Expected shots: Just 5 on target combined? That’s a recipe for frustration (and few goals).

Our AI gives this a 2.7/10 confidence score—not a lock, but statistically the best betting tip on the board.

Tactical Tidbits: Where the Game Could Be Won

Sibenik’s Home Comforts

Stadion Šubićevac isn’t a fortress (home teams win 43.6% in HNL), but Sibenik’s slight edge in squad value (€7.6m vs. Gorica’s €12.88m) is misleading. Their recent head-to-head win proves they know how to stifle Gorica’s flair. Expect:

  • High press early to rattle Gorica’s defense (projected 45% possession).
  • Set-piece focus (5 predicted corners to Gorica’s 2).

Gorica’s Away Blues

Gorica’s win over Dinamo was a miracle, but miracles rarely strike twice. Away from home, they’ve struggled:

  • Only 30.7% of HNL away teams win—the league’s third-worst rate.
  • 2 yellow cards predicted? They’ll foul to disrupt Sibenik’s rhythm.

Final Prediction: A Nail-Biter With One Moment of Magic

Our Sibenik vs HNK Gorica prediction: 1-0 to the hosts, with a 0-0 half-time grind. The stats, the head-to-head, and the betting tips all point to a low-scoring affair where one set-piece or defensive lapse decides it. Sibenik’s odds (2.7) offer solid value, but the safer play is under 2.7 goals. Bring the popcorn—just don’t expect a goal fest.

P.S. If you’re feeling bold, a correct score bet on 1-0 (around 6.00 odds) might just pay for next week’s pints too.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sibenik vs HNK Gorica

U2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -189
2/10

1x2 Tip

1 170

Sibenik is expected to win with odds of 170
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -137

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -115

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

55%
Ball Possession
45%
10
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.4
Total Goals
2.2
0.9
Goals Scored
1.1
1.5
Goals Against
1.1
45%
Possession
46%
8
Total Shots
6.7
2.8
Shots on Goal
1.8
3.2
Shots off Goal
3.7
12.7
Fouls
11.5
4.1
Corners
2
1.1
Offsides
2.2
1.9
Yellow Cards
2.13
0.2
Red Cards
0.13
293
Total Passes
377

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
7
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
4
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Sibenik
4 - 7 - 12
HNK Gorica
Sibenik Sibenik 28-Apr-25
0:0
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 23-Feb-25
1:0
Sibenik Sibenik
Sibenik Sibenik 24-Nov-24
1:0
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 30-Aug-24
2:1
Sibenik Sibenik
Sibenik Sibenik 14-Apr-23
0:4
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 05-Feb-23
0:3
Sibenik Sibenik
Sibenik Sibenik 09-Nov-22
2:0
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
Sibenik Sibenik 02-Oct-22
1:1
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 23-Jul-22
0:0
Sibenik Sibenik
Sibenik Sibenik 02-Apr-22
0:1
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica

Profile time Recent Matches of Sibenik

Profile time Recent Matches of HNK Gorica

31 JanGorica Gorica.
-
Hajduk Split.Hajduk Split

Croatia - HNL Croatia - HNL

Team Matches Goals Points
1 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka36
49-21
65
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb36
69-41
65
3 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk36
49-34
63
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin36
28-24
49
5 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven36
42-45
48
6 Istra 1961 Istra 196136
39-42
48
7 NK Osijek NK Osijek36
46-52
42
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva36
45-54
39
9 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica36
29-51
37
10 Sibenik Sibenik36
28-60
30
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