Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Looking for the best Somalia vs Mozambique prediction? You’re in the right place. On October 14, 2025, at 17:00 GMT, Somalia and Mozambique will meet at the Miloud Hadefi Olympic Complex in Oran, Algeria—a neutral venue that’s been Somalia’s adopted home. With both teams writing very different stories in the World Cup Qualification Africa campaign, this match offers more than just a simple three points. Let’s break down the head to head, tactics, recent form, and the smartest betting tips for this intriguing encounter.
There’s no sugarcoating it: Somalia are at the bottom of Group G with just one point, already eliminated from World Cup qualification. For the Ocean Stars, pride and the hope of a rare positive result are the main motivators. Mozambique, on the other hand, are still in the hunt for a playoff spot as one of the best second-placed teams, sitting third with 15 points. The stakes are sky-high for the Mambas, who know every point counts.
Despite the odds, Somalia have shown they can surprise—just ask Guinea, who were held to a 0-0 draw by the Ocean Stars in March, even though Somalia’s odds to win were a staggering 29.0. Mozambique, too, have a history of upsets, drawing 2-2 with Ghana in a result that shocked many bettors.
The head to head record this season favors Mozambique, who edged Somalia 2-1 in their previous meeting. That result fits the broader narrative: Mozambique’s squad is valued at €24.92 million, dwarfing Somalia’s €2.23 million—a gap that often translates to results on the pitch.
Tactically, Somalia under Yusuf Ali Nur often set up in a deep, compact 5-4-1 or 4-1-4-1, prioritizing defense and central compactness. They sometimes shift to a 4-2-4 in possession, but creativity remains a challenge. Mozambique, with more individual quality, are likely to control possession and look to break down Somalia’s defensive block.
Let’s get to the heart of the matter: the Somalia vs Mozambique prediction and the best betting tips for this match. The bookmakers have spoken, and the odds are clear:
Our AI at NerdyTips rates the away win (Mozambique) as the best wager, with a confidence of 3.2/10 and odds of 1.29. Our own analysis gives a slightly higher confidence of 3.3/10 for the same outcome. While the confidence isn’t sky-high, the gulf in squad value, recent form, and motivation makes Mozambique the logical pick.
In summary, all signs point to a professional, workmanlike performance from Mozambique. For those looking for betting tips, the away win is the safest play, with under 3.5 goals offering extra value. The Somalia vs Mozambique prediction is clear: expect the Mambas to keep their qualification hopes alive, while Somalia aim for a respectable showing.
To wrap up, here are the key takeaways for your Somalia vs Mozambique prediction:
While football always has room for surprises—as Somalia and Mozambique have both proven in recent months—the numbers, form, and motivation all favor the away side. Keep an eye on the team news, but if you’re looking for value, Mozambique and under 3.5 goals are the picks to consider. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as your analysis!
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Meaningless match!
2 -345
Mozambique is expected to win with odds of -3452 -345
Mozambique is expected to win with odds of -345Under 3.5 -278
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -182
At least one team is not expected to score2&U4.5 -175
Away win and under 4.5 goals
0:2
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 Mozambique |
07-Jun-24
2:1
| Somalia  |
World - World Cup - Qualification Africa| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Algeria | 10 | 24-8 | 25 |
| 2 |
Uganda | 10 | 14-9 | 18 |
| 3 |
Mozambique | 10 | 14-17 | 18 |
| 4 |
Guinea | 10 | 11-8 | 15 |
| 5 |
Botswana | 10 | 12-16 | 10 |
| 6 |
Somalia | 10 | 3-20 | 1 |
