Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Zambia
Preview
The Zambian Super League serves up another intriguing battle this Wednesday as Zanaco welcome Green Eagles to Sunset Stadium. With kickoff at 14:00 GMT, this isn’t just another midweek fixture—it’s a duel where history, stats, and a hint of unpredictability collide. Let’s break it down.
Zanaco, with a squad valued at €100K, might not be the flashiest side in the league, but they’ve got something going for them: home advantage. In the Zambian top flight, hosts win 40% of matches, while away victories sit at a measly 29.4%. Draws? They happen 30.7% of the time. That’s not just a random stat—it’s a trend Zanaco will lean on heavily.
But don’t write off Green Eagles just yet. Their squad value might be unknown, but their ability to surprise isn’t. Remember their 1-0 smash-and-grab against Prison Leopards in May 2023? They defied odds of 5.62 that day. Zanaco, too, have shown grit, holding Nkwazi to a 0-0 draw last November despite being priced at 6.14. These are teams that don’t always play by the script.
The bookmakers have Zanaco as slight favorites: a home win sits at 2.35, a draw at 2.70, and an away win at 3.20. But numbers alone don’t tell the full story. Our AI model gives a 5.0/10 confidence rating to the 1X (home win or draw) market at 1.29 odds. Why? Because Zanaco’s home edge aligns perfectly with that 40% league-wide home-win rate. It’s not glamorous, but it’s smart betting.
Dig deeper, and the case for Zanaco strengthens. The AI leans toward a home win (4.5 confidence, odds 2.35), and here’s why: Zambian football loves a low-scoring grind. Only 32% of games here see over 2.5 goals, and both teams score in just 39.2% of matches. That’s music to Zanaco’s ears—they know how to keep things tight.
Their last head-to-head with Green Eagles? A 1-1 draw in December 2023. But this time, at Sunset Stadium, we’re predicting a 2-0 Zanaco win (HT 1-0). It’s a scoreline that respects the league’s stingy nature while banking on home momentum.
If you’re playing it safe, 1X at 1.29 is the logical move. But for those craving a bit more value, under 2.5 goals at 1.36 is a gem. With goals at a premium in Zambia, patience here could pay off. Either way, this isn’t a match for fireworks—it’s one for shrewd punters who trust the trends.
So mark your calendars for Zanaco vs Green Eagles. Prediction models, history, and a dash of home bias all point to a tense, tactical affair. Will Zanaco deliver? The stats say they’ve got a fighting chance.
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1X -345
Zanaco to win or draw with odds of -3451 135
Zanaco is expected to win with odds of 135Under 2.5 -278
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -175
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -179
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2:0
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8
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9
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5
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 Zanaco |
09-Apr-25
1:0
| Green Eagles  |
| Green Eagles |
01-Dec-24
3:3
| Zanaco |
| Green Eagles |
15-May-24
0:1
| Zanaco |
| Zanaco |
03-Dec-23
1:1
| Green Eagles |
| Zanaco |
04-Mar-23
1:2
| Green Eagles |
| Green Eagles |
22-Oct-22
2:1
| Zanaco |
| Zanaco |
26-Jan-22
1:1
| Green Eagles |
| Green Eagles |
29-Sep-21
0:0
| Zanaco |
| Zanaco |
27-Feb-21
1:1
| Green Eagles |
| Green Eagles |
04-Nov-20
1:0
| Zanaco |
Zambia - Super League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Power Dynamos | 34 | 54-22 | 68 |
| 2 |
ZESCO United | 34 | 34-20 | 63 |
| 3 |
Nkana | 34 | 48-29 | 58 |
| 4 |
Red Arrows | 34 | 32-24 | 56 |
| 5 |
Kabwe Warriors | 34 | 38-27 | 51 |
| 6 |
Nkwazi | 34 | 31-26 | 50 |
| 7 |
Green | 34 | 34-35 | 45 |
| 8 |
Mufulira | 34 | 30-31 | 45 |
| 9 |
NAPSA Stars | 34 | 24-22 | 44 |
| 10 |
Man Utd Zambia | 34 | 33-34 | 44 |
| 11 |
Nchanga | 34 | 29-28 | 42 |
| 12 |
Green Eagles | 34 | 32-34 | 41 |
| 13 |
Mutondo Stars | 34 | 26-34 | 41 |
| 14 |
Zanaco | 34 | 34-41 | 39 |
| 15 |
Atletico | 34 | 27-46 | 39 |
| 16 |
Forest Rangers | 34 | 31-34 | 38 |
| 17 |
Lumwana | 34 | 21-36 | 37 |
| 18 |
Indeni | 34 | 20-55 | 15 |
