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AS Roma vs Inter Prediction - Sep 19, 2026

AS Roma €472.60m
Sep 1917:00
2:2
Finished
Inter €730.30m
12.80 X3.50 22.63

Match Tips

Confidence
Warning

Inter didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip
HS 1.21
AS Roma to score
4.2/10
1x2 Tip
22.63
1.7/10
Total Goals
Over 2.51.62
4.9/10
Both Teams To Score
Yes1.48
4.1/10
Bet Builder Tip
X2 & Over 1.51.68
1.1/10
Correct Score
AS Roma12Inter

Stats: predicted vs actual

AI
AS Roma
Inter
xGAS Roma: 1.61Inter: 1.78
Ball PossessionAS Roma: 45%Inter: 55%
Total ShotsAS Roma: 12Inter: 18
Shots on GoalAS Roma: 5Inter: 6
Shots Off GoalAS Roma: 6Inter: 7
CornersAS Roma: 5Inter: 6
Yellow CardsAS Roma: 2Inter: 2
xGAS Roma: 1.69Inter: 2.37
Ball PossessionAS Roma: 49%Inter: 51%
Total ShotsAS Roma: 18Inter: 16
Shots on GoalAS Roma: 4Inter: 5
Shots Off GoalAS Roma: 7Inter: 8
CornersAS Roma: 4Inter: 2
Yellow CardsAS Roma: 3Inter: 3
xGAS Roma: 1.691.61Inter: 2.371.78
Ball PossessionAS Roma: 49%45%Inter: 51%55%
Total ShotsAS Roma: 1812Inter: 1618
Shots on GoalAS Roma: 45Inter: 56
Shots Off GoalAS Roma: 76Inter: 87
CornersAS Roma: 45Inter: 26
Yellow CardsAS Roma: 32Inter: 32

Preview

AI
AS Roma vs Inter Prediction

AS Roma vs Inter prediction for a tense night in Rome

This AS Roma vs Inter Prediction examines an early Serie A test between two perfect teams. Roma host Inter at the Stadio Olimpico on Saturday, September 19, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 17:00 GMT.

Two perfect records, but different ways of winning

Roma begin Matchday 5 at the top of the table after winning their first four league games. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side recently beat Torino 2-0, with Donyell Malen and Niccolò Pisilli scoring. That followed a dramatic 2-1 comeback against Atalanta, when Mario Hermoso and Matías Soulé struck late. A 1-1 Champions League draw at Fenerbahçe, featuring a Bryan Cristante goal, also underlined their ability to stay competitive away from home.

Gasperini has praised Roma’s energy and resilience, although he believes the squad is still finding full fitness. Summer arrivals Nahuel Molina and Rodrigo Mora may need more time, while Manu Koné is doubtful after suffering an injury against Fenerbahçe. Wesley picked up a knee knock but is expected to recover, and Emanuele Lulli is available again following illness.

Malen is the obvious danger after scoring six times this season. Paulo Dybala and Soulé provide creativity around him, while Cristante and Gianluca Mancini bring structure and leadership. Roma will press high when possible, but doing that against Inter can feel like leaving the front door open while going to check the mailbox.

Inter sit second and have scored an impressive 13 goals in four league matches. Their latest result was a wild 5-3 win over Udinese, with Marcus Thuram, Carlos Augusto, Nicolò Barella, Pio Esposito and Ange-Yoan Bonny all finding the net. They had previously defeated Napoli 3-2 before losing 2-1 to Real Madrid in Europe.

Cristian Chivu’s attacking approach has delivered excitement, although defensive balance remains a concern. Thuram, Lautaro Martínez and Barella give Inter several routes to goal. Chivu has also strongly backed captain Martínez. Inter sometimes start slowly, but their depth allows them to increase the pressure as games develop.

AS Roma vs Inter prediction and betting tips

The market sees a close contest. Roma are priced at 2.6355, the draw at 3.50 and Inter at 2.635. Inter’s slight advantage fits the squad valuations: the visitors are worth around €730.30m, compared with Roma’s €472.6350m group. Money does not score goals, of course, but it can buy plenty of options from the bench.

  • Best tip: Roma to score at 1.21, with AI confidence of 4.2 out of 10
  • Match result: Inter win at 2.6350, with confidence of 1.7
  • Goals market: Over 2.5 at 1.70, with a trust level of 4.9
  • Expected score: Roma 1-2 Inter
  • Half-time forecast: Roma 0-1 Inter

The conservative selection is HS, meaning the home team will score. Roma’s attacking form supports it, while Inter’s open style has recently produced both goals and defensive problems. The over 2.5 goals pick carries the strongest trust rating and connects naturally with the predicted 1-2 result.

Inter are forecast to control 55% possession and attempt 18 shots, compared with Roma’s 45% and 12 efforts. The shots-on-target estimate is much closer at 6-5, suggesting Roma should still create meaningful chances. Eleven corners are expected, split 6-5 to Inter, while both teams are projected to receive two yellow cards.

Head to head and final verdict

Inter won the latest head to head meeting 1-0 on October 18, 2025, when Roma were priced at 3.53 and Inter at 2.25. Both clubs have also handled difficult away assignments before: Roma drew 2-2 at Bayer Leverkusen in May 2024 despite odds of 5.84, while Inter earned a 0-0 draw at Manchester City four months later with odds of 5.80.

Our Serie A betting verdict gives Inter the narrow edge, but the low 1X2 confidence warns against treating the away win as a certainty. For practical betting tips, Roma to score is the safer route, while over 2.5 goals offers more appealing value. Final call: 1-2, with Inter leading at the break.

Statistics

Average / Match
AS Roma
Inter
Expected GoalsAS Roma: 1.72Inter: 2.14
Total GoalsAS Roma: 3.8Inter: 3.3
Goals ScoredAS Roma: 2.3Inter: 2.1
Goals AgainstAS Roma: 1.5Inter: 1.2
PossessionAS Roma: 55%Inter: 57%
Total ShotsAS Roma: 13.9Inter: 19.9
Shots on GoalAS Roma: 4.8Inter: 6.8
Shots off GoalAS Roma: 5.8Inter: 8
FoulsAS Roma: 11.8Inter: 7.8
CornersAS Roma: 4.8Inter: 6.3
OffsidesAS Roma: 1.9Inter: 2.4
Yellow CardsAS Roma: 1.78Inter: 1.2
Total PassesAS Roma: 515Inter: 564

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
AS Roma
Inter
WinsAS Roma: 5Inter: 7
Over 1.5 GoalsAS Roma: 10Inter: 8
Over 2.5 GoalsAS Roma: 8Inter: 6
Over 3.5 GoalsAS Roma: 6Inter: 3
Both Teams ScoredAS Roma: 6Inter: 8
Unexpected WinsAS Roma: 0Inter: 0
Unexpected LosesAS Roma: 0Inter: 0

H2H

Total meetings 33
AS Roma
Inter
9Wins
10Draws
14Wins
Recent meetings 9
2.9Goals per match
44%Both Teams Scored
44%Over 2.5 Goals
2AS Roma0Draws7Inter
Apr 05 2026: Inter 5–2 AS Roma
Oct 18 2025: AS Roma 0–1 Inter
Apr 27 2025: Inter 0–1 AS Roma
Oct 20 2024: AS Roma 0–1 Inter
Feb 10 2024: AS Roma 2–4 Inter
Oct 29 2023: Inter 1–0 AS Roma
May 06 2023: AS Roma 0–2 Inter
Oct 01 2022: Inter 1–2 AS Roma
Apr 23 2022: Inter 3–1 AS Roma

Scores as played, home team first

Recent Matches

Standings

Italy - Serie A
# Team M G P
1 Inter 9 25-10 25
2 Lazio 9 22-7 25
3 AS Roma 9 23-8 21
4 Como 9 17-8 20
5 AC Milan 9 18-11 18
6 Frosinone 9 22-14 17
7 Napoli 9 17-11 14
8 Juventus 9 11-10 14
9 Torino 9 14-14 13
10 Cagliari 9 8-13 13
11 Bologna 9 12-12 11
12 Atalanta 9 16-17 11
13 Genoa 9 8-13 10
14 Lecce 9 10-19 9
15 Sassuolo 9 14-22 8
16 Monza 9 16-22 7
17 Udinese 9 9-18 5
18 Fiorentina 9 11-21 5
19 Parma 9 5-15 5
20 Venezia 9 6-19 3
Champions League league stage Europa League league stage Play-offs Relegation