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Fenerbahce vs AS Roma Prediction - Sep 10, 2026

Sep 1017:45
1:1
Finished
14.05 X3.90 22.00

Match Tips

Confidence
Warning

AS Roma has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip
X2 1.28
AS Roma or draw
8.5/10
1x2 Tip
22.00
8.0/10
Total Goals
Over 1.51.19
5.8/10
Both Teams To Score
Yes1.53
3.8/10
Bet Builder Tip
X2 & Over 1.51.45
3.8/10
Correct Score
Fenerbahce12AS Roma

Stats: predicted vs actual

AI
Fenerbahce
AS Roma
xGFenerbahce: 1.13AS Roma: 2.21
Ball PossessionFenerbahce: 45%AS Roma: 55%
Total ShotsFenerbahce: 12AS Roma: 15
Shots on GoalFenerbahce: 5AS Roma: 6
Shots Off GoalFenerbahce: 4AS Roma: 7
CornersFenerbahce: 4AS Roma: 5
Yellow CardsFenerbahce: 3AS Roma: 2
xGFenerbahce: 1.73AS Roma: 0.52
Ball PossessionFenerbahce: 42%AS Roma: 58%
Total ShotsFenerbahce: 11AS Roma: 8
Shots on GoalFenerbahce: 5AS Roma: 3
Shots Off GoalFenerbahce: 4AS Roma: 3
CornersFenerbahce: 1AS Roma: 3
Yellow CardsFenerbahce: 4AS Roma: 2
xGFenerbahce: 1.731.13AS Roma: 0.522.21
Ball PossessionFenerbahce: 42%45%AS Roma: 58%55%
Total ShotsFenerbahce: 1112AS Roma: 815
Shots on GoalFenerbahce: 55AS Roma: 36
Shots Off GoalFenerbahce: 44AS Roma: 37
CornersFenerbahce: 14AS Roma: 35
Yellow CardsFenerbahce: 43AS Roma: 22

Preview

AI
Fenerbahce vs AS Roma Prediction

Fenerbahce vs AS Roma Prediction and Betting Story

The Fenerbahce vs AS Roma prediction points toward a lively opening night in the UEFA Champions League league phase. The match is scheduled for Thursday, September 10, 2026, at 17:45 GMT, with Istanbul’s Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium ready to provide its usual wall of noise.

Roma return with confidence and attacking power

Roma are back in the Champions League after a seven-year absence. Their previous campaign in 2018-19 ended in the Round of 16, so this return carries extra meaning for the Italian club and its supporters.

Gian Piero Gasperini’s team could hardly arrive in better spirits. Roma opened their 2026-27 Serie A season with two 4-0 victories. Donyell Malen has led that charge, scoring five times in two matches. His speed and direct running should be especially dangerous when Fenerbahce push their full-backs forward.

Paulo Dybala has supplied three assists in two appearances, although a minor injury has required careful management. Reports suggest Gasperini planned to protect him during the weekend game against Atalanta so that he could be fully prepared for Istanbul. If fit, his passing between midfield and attack adds another problem for the hosts.

Fenerbahce have stars, noise and a point to prove

İsmail Kartal returned in June 2026 for his fourth spell as Fenerbahce coach, with former Liverpool and Fenerbahce player Dirk Kuyt joining his staff. Their squad contains major names, including Ederson, Milan Škriniar, Talisca and Mason Greenwood.

Greenwood may not be ready to start after joining the group late. Kartal has indicated that the forward will receive minutes gradually, making an appearance from the bench more likely. That is still not a pleasant sight for tired Roma defenders.

Jayden Oosterwolde will miss the match after an unusual transfer story involving both clubs. Roma had agreed a loan with a reported €15m-€18m purchase obligation, but a serious hamstring and thigh problem was discovered during his medical. The move collapsed, surgery followed, and the defender is expected to remain out until December or January.

There is little meaningful head to head history to guide bettors, so current shape and squad quality matter more. Roma’s estimated team value of €484.60m is also well above Fenerbahce’s €282.70m, although Istanbul has never cared much for spreadsheets.

AI Betting Tips, Match Odds and Expected Score

The market makes Roma the favorite at 2.0, compared with 4.050 for a Fenerbahce win and 3.9 for the draw. NerdyTips’ strongest selection is X2, meaning Roma win or draw, at odds of 1.280 and an 8.5/10 confidence rating.

  • Best wager: X2 at 1.280, confidence 8.5/10
  • 1X2 selection: Roma to win at around 2.00, confidence 8.0/10
  • Goals market: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, confidence 5.8/10
  • Correct score: Fenerbahce 1-2 Roma
  • Half-time score: 1-1

The projected match statistics support the away selection. Roma are expected to hold 55% possession, attempt 15 shots and place six on target. Fenerbahce are forecast to have 45% of the ball, 12 attempts and five shots on goal. Those numbers suggest a competitive contest rather than one-way traffic.

Nine corners are projected, split 5-4 in Roma’s favor. The card estimate is three for Fenerbahce and two for Roma, which feels believable in a tense stadium where every tackle may receive its own dramatic soundtrack.

Both teams have shown they can upset expectations away from home. Fenerbahce won 2-1 at Nottingham on February 26, 2026, despite pre-match odds of 5.50. Roma produced a 2-2 draw at Bayer Leverkusen on May 9, 2024, when their win price was as high as 5.84.

Overall, this Fenerbahce vs AS Roma Prediction favors the visitors’ deeper attack and strong early form. X2 offers the safer route, while a Roma win and over 1.5 goals are suitable betting tips for those willing to accept more risk.

Statistics

Average / Match
Fenerbahce
AS Roma
Expected GoalsFenerbahce: 1.75AS Roma: 1.93
Total GoalsFenerbahce: 2.5AS Roma: 3.8
Goals ScoredFenerbahce: 1.6AS Roma: 2.4
Goals AgainstFenerbahce: 0.9AS Roma: 1.4
PossessionFenerbahce: 56%AS Roma: 56%
Total ShotsFenerbahce: 15.8AS Roma: 15.2
Shots on GoalFenerbahce: 6.5AS Roma: 5.4
Shots off GoalFenerbahce: 5.3AS Roma: 6.2
FoulsFenerbahce: 14AS Roma: 10.4
CornersFenerbahce: 6.3AS Roma: 5.1
OffsidesFenerbahce: 1.8AS Roma: 1.9
Yellow CardsFenerbahce: 2.11AS Roma: 1.67
Total PassesFenerbahce: 486AS Roma: 510

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
Fenerbahce
AS Roma
WinsFenerbahce: 6AS Roma: 6
Over 1.5 GoalsFenerbahce: 8AS Roma: 10
Over 2.5 GoalsFenerbahce: 4AS Roma: 8
Over 3.5 GoalsFenerbahce: 1AS Roma: 6
Both Teams ScoredFenerbahce: 6AS Roma: 5
Unexpected WinsFenerbahce: 0AS Roma: 0
Unexpected LosesFenerbahce: 1AS Roma: 0

Recent Matches

Standings

World - UEFA Champions League
# Team M G P
1 Paris Saint Germain 3 14-5 9
2 Aston Villa 3 12-3 9
3 Liverpool 3 12-7 9
4 Real Madrid 3 10-5 9
5 Real Betis 3 7-4 9
6 VfB Stuttgart 3 7-2 7
7 Arsenal 3 6-2 7
8 Barcelona 3 11-6 6
9 Como 3 10-5 6
10 Manchester City 3 9-5 6
11 Club Brugge KV 3 9-6 6
12 Sporting CP 3 7-4 6
13 Borussia Dortmund 3 5-4 6
14 Bayern München 3 10-5 5
15 AS Roma 3 8-5 4
16 Atletico Madrid 3 4-3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4-3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven 3 2-2 4
19 Villarreal 3 8-8 3
20 Manchester United 3 5-6 3
21 Inter 3 5-6 3
22 Napoli 3 5-7 3
23 Galatasaray 3 6-9 3
24 Lask Linz 3 6-9 3
25 Sabah FC 3 3-6 3
26 Feyenoord 3 4-8 3
27 Lens 3 3-7 3
28 Bodo/Glimt 3 4-9 3
29 AEK Athens FC 3 3-8 3
30 RB Leipzig 3 3-8 3
31 Fenerbahçe 3 3-9 2
32 Slavia Praha 3 4-7 1
33 Viking 3 5-9 1
34 FC Porto 3 2-6 0
35 Lille 3 4-10 0
36 Slovan Bratislava 3 1-13 0
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)