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Match Prediction

Azerbaijan vs Iceland Prediction

Azerbaijan

€17.85m

13 Nov12:00
0 : 2

Iceland

€81.40m

Preview

Azerbaijan vs Iceland Prediction World Cup - Qualification Europe

Azerbaijan vs Iceland Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Storylines

Welcome to our Azerbaijan vs Iceland prediction for the World Cup Qualifiers! On November 13, 2025, at 17:00 GMT, these two teams meet again in a match that could shape the fate of Group D. We’ll dive into tactics, recent form, head to head stats, and the best betting odds, using simple language for all football fans and bettors.

Background: Stakes, Standings, and Head to Head

Both Azerbaijan and Iceland know what’s at stake. Iceland currently sits 3rd in the group, while Azerbaijan is 4th, so every point matters. Looking at their head to head history, Iceland holds the upper hand with one win and one draw from their last two meetings. Their most recent match, on September 5, 2025, ended with Iceland dominating 5-0. This result will surely be fresh in the minds of both teams.

Team Form and Style: Contrasts on the Pitch

  • Iceland’s Recent Form: Two wins, one draw, and two losses from their last five matches. They’ve scored 8 and conceded 9 in their last four games. Notably, they drew 2-2 with France in October, showing they can surprise even the strongest teams.
  • Azerbaijan’s Recent Form: Three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five, but the numbers hide a worrying trend. Azerbaijan is winless in 14 matches and has only scored once in their last four games. They’ve lost their last four World Cup qualifiers, letting in three goals each time.

Tactically, Iceland often uses a 4-4-2 diamond or adapts to a 4-2-3-1. They rely on teamwork, pressing, and set pieces. Their attacks often start from the back, with midfielders like Gylfi Sigurðsson pulling the strings and Albert Guðmundsson leading the line.

Azerbaijan, under Fernando Santos, prefers a 3-4-3 formation. They try to play attacking football but have struggled to finish chances. Many players come from Qarabağ, a club known for discipline and quick transitions, but the national side has found it tough to score in these qualifiers.

Key Players and Staff News

  • Iceland: Coach Arnar Gunnlaugsson, captain Orri Steinn Óskarsson, and creative force Gylfi Sigurðsson headline the squad. Albert Guðmundsson is their main goal threat, while Isak Bergmann Johannesson and Hákón Arnar Haraldsson add energy in midfield.
  • Azerbaijan: Coach Fernando Santos leads a group featuring Qarabağ stars like Leandro Andrade and Abdellah Zoubir. Captain Emin Mahmudov anchors the midfield, with Mahir Emreli up front and Nariman Akhundzade as a young attacking option.

Betting Odds and AI Tips: Where’s the Smart Money?

Let’s break down the Azerbaijan vs Iceland prediction for bettors. The bookmakers see Iceland as clear favorites, with an away win priced at 1.53. A home win for Azerbaijan sits at 6.0, and a draw at 4.2. Our AI tips a strong away win (pick: 2) with a trust score of 10.0/10—this is as confident as it gets.

  • Best Bet: Iceland to win (2) at 1.53 odds. Trust score: 10/10.
  • Total Goals: The AI predicts over 2.5 goals in the match, with a trust score of 7.0 and odds of 1.78. Expect attacking intent from Iceland and chances on the break for Azerbaijan.
  • Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of Iceland, with Azerbaijan holding 32% possession and Iceland 68%. Total shots: 4 for Azerbaijan, 11 for Iceland. Corners are expected to be 1 for the home team and 3 for the visitors.

Azerbaijan’s home crowd will hope for another surprise—like their 1-1 draw with Ukraine—but the stats, recent form, and head to head record all favor Iceland. With a squad valued at over €81 million compared to Azerbaijan’s €17.85 million, the visitors have the quality and depth to see this through.

Final Thought: What to Expect

Our Azerbaijan vs Iceland prediction is clear: Iceland to win, with a likely final score of 2-1. The away team’s tactical discipline, attacking quality, and recent head to head dominance make them the smart pick. For those looking at the betting odds, backing Iceland and over 2.5 total goals looks like a wise play. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just starting out, this match promises drama and plenty of talking points—just how we like our football nights.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Azerbaijan vs Iceland

2 -189

Iceland is expected to win with odds of -189
10/10

1x2 Tip

2 -189

Iceland is expected to win with odds of -189
10/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -128

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -118

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -294

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
9/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

32%
Ball Possession
68%
4
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots Off Goal
3
1
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
3.9
0.3
Goals Scored
1.9
2.4
Goals Against
2
39%
Possession
51%
5.4
Total Shots
8.4
1.9
Shots on Goal
3.9
2.8
Shots off Goal
3
10.9
Fouls
11.8
3.1
Corners
2.7
1.6
Offsides
0.6
2.13
Yellow Cards
2.1
0
Red Cards
0.13
314
Total Passes
451

Overview Last 10 Matches

0
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
8
2
Over 3.5 Goals
6
3
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Azerbaijan
0 - 0 - 1
Iceland
Iceland Iceland 05-Sep-25
5:0
Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

World - World Cup - Qualification Europe World - World Cup - Qualification Europe

Team Matches Goals Points
1 France France6
16-4
16
2 Ukraine Ukraine6
10-11
10
3 Iceland Iceland6
13-11
7
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan6
3-16
1
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