Belgium vs Ukraine Prediction

Belgium will host Ukraine at Cegeka Arena on March 23, 2025, at 19:45 GMT, in what promises to be an intriguing UEFA Nations League clash. With Belgium heavily favored at 1.46 odds, Ukraine faces an uphill battle, but as history has shown, surprises can happen.

Match Preview & Betting Odds
Belgium enters this match as the clear favorite, boasting a 71% possession forecast and an expected 16 total shots compared to Ukraine’s 7. The home side also holds a significant squad value advantage (€477.00m vs. €309.70m), reinforcing their dominance on paper.

The 1x2 market odds are:
- Belgium to win: 1.46 (77.5% implied probability)
- Draw: 4.50 (20%)
- Ukraine to win: 6.660 (10%)

Our AI-driven prediction leans towards a Belgium win, with a trust level of 5.5/10, while NerdyTips' AI gives a slightly higher trust score of 5.6/10 for the same outcome.

Can Ukraine Shock Belgium?
Ukraine pulled off a stunning result against Italy on November 20, 2023, securing a 0-0 draw despite 4.50 odds for a win. While they have shown resilience, Belgium’s home record and overall squad strength make an upset unlikely.

Goals & Over/Under Market
- Under 3.5 goals is the most probable outcome, with a trust level of 4.3 and odds of 1.44.
- Our AI predicts a final score of 2-1, with Belgium leading 1-0 at halftime.

Key Match Stats & Betting Insights
- Corners: Belgium 7, Ukraine 1 (Total: 8)
- Shots on target: Belgium 5, Ukraine 2
- Yellow cards: Belgium 1, Ukraine 2
- UEFA Nations League Trends:
- Home teams win 42.5% of matches.
- Away teams win 34.3% of the time.
- 47.0% of games see both teams scoring.
- 73.8% of matches have over 1.46 goals.

Best Bets & Final Thoughts
- Belgium to Win (1.46) – The safest bet, but low value.
- Under 3.5 Goals (1.44) – Given Belgium’s control but Ukraine’s defensive resilience, this looks solid.
- Correct Score 2-1 (Odds TBD) – A riskier but well-calculated option.

Belgium should dominate possession and create more chances, but Ukraine has proven they can frustrate top teams. While an upset is unlikely, a narrow Belgium win seems the most reasonable outcome.