Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Get ready for a fascinating World Cup - Qualification Europe fixture as Azerbaijan hosts Ukraine at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium in Baku on September 9, 2025, at 17:00 GMT. If you’re searching for the most reliable Azerbaijan vs Ukraine prediction, you’re in the right place. We’ll break down the latest team news, tactics, and betting odds, then share what our AI and expert tipsters expect from this Group D encounter.
Both Azerbaijan and Ukraine kicked off their World Cup qualifying campaigns with defeats, but the mood in each camp couldn’t be more different. Azerbaijan’s 5-0 loss to Iceland extended their winless streak to 11 matches across all competitions. Their last victory in World Cup qualifying dates back to 2017 against San Marino. It’s been a tough road for the hosts, who have struggled to find consistency or attacking spark in recent years.
Ukraine, meanwhile, lost 2-0 to France, but the scoreline doesn’t tell the whole story. The visitors created four big chances (just one fewer than France) and posted an xG of 1.91, suggesting they were more than just passengers in Paris. Historically, these sides have met only twice before, both friendlies in 2006: a goalless draw in Baku and a 6-0 Ukraine win in Kyiv. This will be their first-ever World Cup qualifying head to head.
Azerbaijan, under Santos, have struggled to keep the ball (just 29% possession against Iceland) and rarely threaten in attack. Expect a 3-4-3 setup, hoping to frustrate Ukraine and maybe nick a goal on the break. Ukraine, led by Serhiy Rebrov, are likely to stick with a 3-5-2 formation, aiming to control possession and exploit Azerbaijan’s defensive gaps with the creativity of Sudakov and Zinchenko.
Now, let’s get into the numbers and our expert Azerbaijan vs Ukraine prediction. The betting odds are clear: Home win at 6.15, Draw at 4.1, and an Away win at 1.53. The away side, Ukraine, is the overwhelming favorite, and for good reason.
Our AI predicts a final score of 0:3 in favor of Ukraine, with a half-time score of 0:1. Expect Ukraine to dominate possession (63% projected), rack up 16 shots (6 on target), and win the corner battle 5-3. Azerbaijan, meanwhile, is expected to muster just 5 shots (2 on target). The home side may see more yellow cards (3 to Ukraine’s 1), reflecting their likely defensive approach.
Azerbaijan did pull off a shock 3-0 win over Sweden in late 2023, but lightning rarely strikes twice in football. Ukraine’s quality, depth, and tactical discipline make them the clear favorite for both sports betting fans and those looking for the best Azerbaijan vs Ukraine prediction.
While Azerbaijan will hope for another miracle in Baku, the odds and stats all point to a comfortable Ukraine win. Our best tip: back Ukraine to win, and don’t be surprised if they do it in style. For those who like to play it safe, over 1.5 goals is another smart bet. Enjoy the match, and may your predictions be as sharp as Zinchenko’s left foot!
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2 -189
Ukraine is expected to win with odds of -1892 -189
Ukraine is expected to win with odds of -189Over 1.5 -385
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -122
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&O1.5 -294
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
0:3
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World - World Cup - Qualification Europe| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
France | 6 | 16-4 | 16 |
| 2 |
Ukraine | 6 | 10-11 | 10 |
| 3 |
Iceland | 6 | 13-11 | 7 |
| 4 |
Azerbaijan | 6 | 3-16 | 1 |
