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Match Prediction

Canada vs USA Prediction

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CONCACAF Nations League

Canada

€181.70m

23 Mar17:00
2 : 1

USA

€239.60m

Preview

Canada vs USA Prediction CONCACAF Nations League
A familiar rivalry reignites on March 23 as Canada and the USA lock horns at SoFi Stadium, with both sides eyeing a crucial result. The odds paint an intriguing picture—Canada at 3.2 to win, the USA favored at 2.12, and the draw sitting at 3.55. But if history and form tell us anything, this one could be tighter than the bookmakers suggest. Canada, despite being underdogs, have shown they can punch above their weight. Their last notable upset came in a 2-2 draw against Uruguay, a result that stunned many. Meanwhile, the USA have their own giant-killing credentials, famously holding England to a 0-0 draw at the 2022 World Cup. These results highlight both teams’ resilience against stronger opposition, making this fixture a fascinating tactical battle rather than a one-sided affair. Possession-wise, the USA are expected to hold a slight advantage at 54%, but Canada’s ability to strike on the counter cannot be underestimated. With both teams projected to register around four shots on target each, we might not see a goal-fest, but a tense, well-contested encounter is certainly on the cards. This is where the AI’s prediction for Canada vs USA becomes particularly relevant: the best tip suggests under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.3, with a confidence rating of 5.1/10. Given the defensive discipline both teams have shown in big matches, this feels like a solid bet. Looking at past meetings, Canada got the better of the USA in their last head-to-head back in January 2022, securing a 2-0 win. But the Americans have improved since then and boast a squad valued at €239.60m compared to Canada’s €181.70m. Talent-wise, the USA have the edge, but as we’ve seen before, Canada thrive in these underdog situations. With both teams expected to create a near-equal number of chances, a draw seems like a real possibility. The AI’s 1x2 prediction leans towards X2, meaning a USA win or a draw, with a confidence rating of 2.0 and odds of 1.34. A 1-1 final scoreline is the most likely outcome, with a goalless first half predicted. If you’re looking for a safer bet, a halftime draw could be worth considering. Discipline-wise, we can expect a fairly even contest, with both teams projected to pick up two yellow cards each. Corners are also predicted to be balanced, with Canada winning five and the USA four. These little details might not make the headlines, but they do hint at a game where neither side will run away with it. Ultimately, this game is shaping up to be a tactical chess match rather than an all-out attacking spectacle. The USA have the slight edge in squad depth and individual quality, but Canada’s home advantage and ability to disrupt bigger teams mean we shouldn’t rule out another upset. If you’re betting, under 3.5 goals feels like the smartest play, while a draw wouldn’t be the worst shout either. One thing’s for sure—expect a tightly contested battle where every moment counts.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Canada vs USA

U3.5 -333

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -333
5/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -294

USA to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -333

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -133

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -175

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2
Total Goals
2.5
1.1
Goals Scored
1.5
0.9
Goals Against
1
53%
Possession
60%
10
Total Shots
8.3
3.4
Shots on Goal
4
4.3
Shots off Goal
2.7
13.1
Fouls
11.4
4.6
Corners
3.9
1.1
Offsides
1.1
2.13
Yellow Cards
1.75
0
Red Cards
0
316
Total Passes
489

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
4
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Canada
4 - 2 - 3
USA
Canada Canada 22-Mar-25
2:1
USA USA
USA USA 07-Sep-24
1:2
Canada Canada
USA USA 10-Jul-23
2:2
Canada Canada
Canada Canada 19-Jun-23
0:2
USA USA
Canada Canada 30-Jan-22
2:0
USA USA
USA USA 06-Sep-21
1:1
Canada Canada
USA USA 18-Jul-21
1:0
Canada Canada
USA USA 16-Nov-19
4:1
Canada Canada
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