Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
The Carrarese vs Sudtirol prediction starts with a simple picture: a small stadium, a big afternoon, and two teams staring at the same dream. On February 7, 2026, at 14:00 GMT (15:00 local time), Stadio dei Marmi in Carrara (about 5,280 seats) hosts a mid-table meeting where only one point separates them. With clear skies expected and around 13°C, it’s the kind of day where the tactics do the talking, not the weather.
Carrarese come in around the playoff line (9th with 29 points), and they’ve made home life uncomfortable for visitors. They recently enjoyed a confident 3.3 home win over Empoli, and even after a 2-1 loss to Venezia on January 31, they still look like one of the league’s more “hard-to-open” teams. Their numbers tell that story too: a balanced 30 scored and 30 conceded, with a home clean-sheet rate that has hovered around 64%.
Sudtirol sit just behind (10th with 28 points) and arrive with the momentum dial turned up. After stumbling late in 2025, they’ve started 2026 with four straight wins, including a 2-1 over Catanzaro and a 3.3 against Padova. If they win again, it would be a new club record: five consecutive Serie B victories. That’s not nothing—especially for a side that usually prefers dinner-by-the-book over fireworks.
Nicola Antonio Calabro usually sets Carrarese up in a 3.3-2-1 or 3-5-2, and the plan is rarely mysterious: stay compact, press with intent, and let the creative players find the final ball. Emanuele Zuelli’s imagination and Fabio Abiuso’s finishing are key pieces, and Calabro has already called this a “direct” game that will shape the rest of the season. Translation: no sleepwalking allowed.
Fabrizio Castori, in charge at Sudtirol since December 2024, leans into a pragmatic 3-5-2, and during a winning run he tends to keep the same recipe. Expect physical duels, second balls, and forward work from Raphael Odogwu, with Silvio Merkaj providing legs and pressure. The winter window also brought reinforcements—Simone Verdi, Riccardo Tonin, plus midfield help in Marco Frigerio and Domen Crnigoj—suggesting Sudtirol want to turn “nice season” into “serious season.”
This head to head is usually tight, even if the details can feel slippery from season to season. What we do know from the recent meeting on 2024-08-27 is clear: Carrarese won 2-0. And both teams have shown they can surprise on the road—Carrarese’s 0-2 win at Spezia on 2025-08-24 came with huge 5.05 betting odds, while Sudtirol’s 1-1 at Monza on 2025-12-08 landed when their win price was a chunky 6.5.
Now to the part our readers love: the Carrarese vs Sudtirol prediction for sports betting. The 1X2 betting odds are set at 2.52 for a home win, 3.3 for the draw, and 3.3 for the away win. Our analysis leans slightly to Carrarese at home, but it also respects Sudtirol’s recent run—so the smart angle is to protect against the draw.
The projected match stats read like a classic Serie B afternoon: Carrarese slightly ahead in possession (52% to 48%), shots (13 to 11), and shots on target (4 to 3). Corners are expected to land at 5-4 (9 total), and cards at 1 for Carrarese and 2 for Sudtirol—nothing wild, just the usual “welcome to midfield” greetings.
Put together, those trends fit the under 3.5 goals call and also support the safer 1X. Our expected final score is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time—exactly the sort of match where one well-timed run, one set piece, or one defensive lapse becomes the whole story.
One last detail for context: market values are close (€17.90m for Carrarese vs €16.92m for Sudtirol). This looks like two evenly built squads, and that’s why the sports betting approach that combines structure (under 3.5) with safety (1X) makes sense for this fixture—especially with Carrarese’s home resistance and Sudtirol’s improved form meeting in the middle.
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1X -244
Carrarese to win or draw with odds of -2441 152
Carrarese is expected to win with odds of 152Under 3.5 -345
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 102
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -167
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
1:0
|
|
1
-
2
-
0
|
|
 Sudtirol |
08-Nov-25
1:1
| Carrarese  |
| Sudtirol |
16-Mar-25
2:2
| Carrarese |
| Carrarese |
27-Aug-24
2:0
| Sudtirol |
Recent Matches of Carrarese| 14 Feb |
Modena.
|
-
| Carrarese.
| |
| 10 Feb | L |
Padova.
|
1:0
| Carrarese.
|
| 07 Feb | D |
Carrarese.
|
0:0
| Sudtirol.
|
| 31 Jan | L |
Venezia.
|
2:1
| Carrarese.
|
| 23 Jan | W |
Carrarese.
|
3:0
| Empoli.
|
| 17 Jan | W |
Avellino.
|
1:2
| Carrarese.
|
| 10 Jan | W |
Carrarese.
|
1:0
| Bari.
|
| 27 Dec | D |
Carrarese.
|
0:0
| Mantova.
|
| 20 Dec | L |
Monza.
|
4:1
| Carrarese.
|
| 14 Dec | W |
Carrarese.
|
3:1
| Entella.
|
Recent Matches of Sudtirol
| 07 Feb | D | Carrarese. |
0:0 |
Sudtirol. |
| 31 Jan | W | Sudtirol. |
2:1 |
Catanzaro. |
| 25 Jan | W | Sudtirol. |
3:0 |
Padova. |
| 17 Jan | W |  Empoli. |
0:1 |
Sudtirol. |
| 10 Jan | W | Sudtirol. |
2:1 |
Spezia. |
| 27 Dec | L |  Juve Stabi. |
1:0 |
Sudtirol. |
| 21 Dec | D |  Entella. |
1:1 |
Sudtirol. |
| 13 Dec | D | Sudtirol. |
0:0 |
Bari. |
| 08 Dec | D |  Monza. |
1:1 |
Sudtirol. |
| 29 Nov | L | Sudtirol. |
0:1 |
Avellino. |
Italy - Serie B| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Venezia | 24 | 46-22 | 50 |
| 2 |
Monza | 23 | 36-19 | 47 |
| 3 |
Frosinone | 23 | 41-21 | 46 |
| 4 |
Palermo | 24 | 39-19 | 45 |
| 5 |
Catanzaro | 24 | 32-26 | 38 |
| 6 |
Modena | 24 | 31-19 | 37 |
| 7 |
Cesena | 24 | 32-30 | 37 |
| 8 |
Juve Stabia | 23 | 27-26 | 35 |
| 9 |
Carrarese | 24 | 31-33 | 30 |
| 10 |
Sudtirol | 23 | 24-23 | 29 |
| 11 |
Padova | 24 | 25-30 | 29 |
| 12 |
Empoli | 23 | 28-31 | 28 |
| 13 |
Avellino | 23 | 28-37 | 28 |
| 14 |
Sampdoria | 24 | 26-32 | 26 |
| 15 |
Virtus Entella | 24 | 23-31 | 25 |
| 16 |
Reggiana | 24 | 26-34 | 24 |
| 17 |
Mantova | 24 | 24-38 | 23 |
| 18 |
Spezia | 23 | 20-30 | 21 |
| 19 |
Bari | 23 | 19-36 | 20 |
| 20 |
Pescara | 24 | 27-48 | 15 |
