France vs Croatia Prediction

The UEFA Nations League serves up a thrilling encounter as France host Croatia at Stade de France on March 23, 2025, at 19:45 GMT. With Les Bleus boasting a staggering squad value of €1.16bn, they are clear favorites against a Croatian side valued at €284.30m. But can the visitors pull off another upset, just like they did in their last meeting?

France vs Croatia Betting Odds & Predictions
Bookmakers have set the odds as follows:
- France win: 1.47
- Draw: 4.1
- Croatia win: 6.8

Our AI-powered analysis gives the best tip as France to win (1) with a confidence of 5.5/10, aligning with the 1x2 market recommendation of France (1) at 1.47 odds.

Match Analysis & Score Prediction
France and Croatia last met on June 13, 2022, when Croatia stunned the French with a 1-0 victory. However, history suggests that home teams win 42.5% of Nations League matches, while away victories stand at 34.3%.

Our AI predicts a 2-1 victory for France, with a 1-1 half-time scoreline. Expect Les Bleus to dominate possession (64% vs. 36%) and outshoot Croatia (18 vs. 9 shots). The expected on-target attempts are 5 for France and 3 for Croatia.

Goals & Betting Markets
- Under 3.5 goals is a strong pick at 1.4 odds, with a confidence level of 4.1/10.
- Both teams to score? Historically, 47.0% of Nations League matches see both teams scoring, making BTTS a possibility.
- Over 2.5 goals? A 47.9% probability suggests this could go either way.

Key Match Stats & Trends
- Corners: France 6, Croatia 3 (Total: 9)
- Yellow Cards: France 1, Croatia 3
- Recent Croatia Upsets: Croatia’s 1-1 draw vs. Brazil in 2022 (before winning on penalties) proves they can frustrate top teams.

Final Verdict
France should win, but Croatia won’t make it easy. If you’re betting, France to win at 1.47 is solid, but for value, Under 3.5 goals at 1.4 is a smart pick. Expect a tight but controlled performance from Les Bleus.