icon back

Match Prediction

Montenegro vs Croatia Prediction

Finished
World flag World
World Cup - Qualification

Montenegro

€58.28m

17 Nov14:45
2 : 3

Croatia

€282.20m

Preview

Montenegro vs Croatia Prediction World Cup - Qualification Europe

Montenegro vs Croatia Prediction: Can the Hosts Upset the Odds?

If you’re searching for the best Montenegro vs Croatia prediction ahead of their World Cup Qualification Europe match on November 17, 2025, you’ve landed in the right spot. Let’s break down everything you need to know before you think about betting odds, total goals, or which team to back. This one has all the ingredients for a memorable night in Podgorica, even if the script seems already written in favor of the visitors.

Team News, Form, and Tactics: All Eyes on Podgorica

Montenegro and Croatia could hardly be heading into this game in more different moods. The home side, led by Mirko Vucinic, are out of the qualification race, but they’re still looking to finish with pride in front of their fans. Their campaign has been a rollercoaster, with three wins and four defeats from seven matches. Defensive issues have been their Achilles’ heel, conceding an average of two per game. Still, recent home form offers a glimmer of hope—two wins from three on their own patch.

On the other hand, Croatia have already wrapped up top spot in Group L. Zlatko Dalić’s men are unbeaten in their last 16 World Cup qualifiers and have been ruthless in front of goal, netting three or more in five of their seven matches. Their last meeting with Montenegro ended in a 4-0 stroll, and the head to head stats are firmly in their favor.

Key Players and Injuries

  • Montenegro: Missing defensive anchor Stefan Savic through injury, with Risto Radunovic also a doubt. The likes of Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta) and Vasilije Adzic (Juventus) will carry the attacking hopes, while veteran Stevan Jovetic adds experience up front.
  • Croatia: No Ante Budimir, Mateo Kovacic, or Nikola Vlasic, but the midfield still boasts the evergreen Luka Modric. Andrej Kramaric is on fire with six goals in his last five qualifiers, and Petar Musa is another threat. At the back, Josko Gvardiol and Duje Caleta-Car provide steel and composure.

Tactical Approaches

  • Montenegro: Expect a compact, defensive setup. They’ll look to frustrate Croatia and strike on the counter, hoping to catch the visitors napping.
  • Croatia: Will dominate possession (projected 68%), dictate the tempo, and use their technical midfield to break down Montenegro’s resistance.

Montenegro vs Croatia Prediction: What Do the Numbers Say?

Let’s get nerdy with the stats and betting odds. The away win is heavily favored at 1.593, while a home win would be a real shocker at 6.9. Even the draw looks unlikely at 4.6. Our AI tipsters and the NerdyTips algorithm both agree: the best 1x2 bet is on Croatia, with trust scores of 6.9 and 7.0 out of 10, respectively.

  • Market Value: Croatia’s squad is worth a whopping €282.20m compared to Montenegro’s €58.28m. That’s a gulf in resources you can’t ignore.
  • Predicted Score: The AI expects a 0:3 win for Croatia, with a 0:1 lead at halftime. The total goals prediction is over 2.5, though that comes with a more cautious trust score of 3.7.
  • Match Stats: Croatia are tipped to rack up 21 shots (seven on target) and nine corners, compared to Montenegro’s eight shots and three corners. In terms of discipline, expect two yellows for the hosts and none for the visitors.

Interesting Facts and Final Thoughts

  • This is only the second ever meeting between these two teams in World Cup qualifying.
  • Montenegro have gone 17 games without a draw—a stat that makes the 1x2 betting market even more interesting.
  • Croatia haven’t lost in their last seven matches, and their only previous trip to Podgorica ended in a convincing win.

So, what’s the best Montenegro vs Croatia prediction for this one? All signs point to an away win. Croatia have the form, the squad depth, and the motivation to finish their group campaign in style. Montenegro will fight, but the gap in quality and experience is just too big to ignore. If you’re betting, Croatia to win at 1.593 looks like the smart play, and don’t be surprised if the total goals go over 2.5. Just don’t expect a fairy tale for the home side this time.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Best Tip odd is moving up from 1.42

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Montenegro vs Croatia

2 -169

Croatia is expected to win with odds of -169
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 -169

Croatia is expected to win with odds of -169
6/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -135

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -103

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -270

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:3

Stats Predictions

32%
Ball Possession
68%
8
Total Shots
21
2
Shots on Goal
7
3
Shots Off Goal
8
3
Corners
9

Average / Match

3.1
Total Goals
3.1
1.3
Goals Scored
2.6
1.8
Goals Against
0.5
52%
Possession
61%
15.9
Total Shots
17.6
5.1
Shots on Goal
6.4
7.6
Shots off Goal
6.7
12.6
Fouls
8.9
4.4
Corners
7.4
1.7
Offsides
2.4
2.44
Yellow Cards
1.38
0.17
Red Cards
0
380
Total Passes
501

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
7
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
5
5
Over 3.5 Goals
4
5
Both Teams Scored
3
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Montenegro
0 - 0 - 1
Croatia
Croatia Croatia 08-Sep-25
4:0
Montenegro Montenegro

Profile time Recent Matches of Montenegro

17 NovL Montenegro Montenegro.
2:3
Croatia. Croatia
14 NovW Gibraltar Gibraltar.
1:2
Montenegro. Montenegro
13 OctW Montenegro Montenegro.
2:1
Liechtenstei. Liechtenstein
09 OctL Faroe I Faroe I.
4:0
Montenegro. Montenegro
08 SepL Croatia Croatia.
4:0
Montenegro. Montenegro
05 SepL Montenegro Montenegro.
0:2
Czech. Czech
09 JunD Montenegro Montenegro.
2:2
Armenia. Armenia
06 JunL Czech Czech.
2:0
Montenegro. Montenegro
25 MarW Montenegro Montenegro.
1:0
Faroe I. Faroe I
22 MarW Montenegro Montenegro.
3:1
Gibraltar. Gibraltar

Profile time Recent Matches of Croatia

17 NovWMontenegro Montenegro.
2:3
Croatia.Croatia
14 NovWCroatia Croatia.
3:1
Faroe Island.Faroe Islands
12 OctWCroatia Croatia.
3:0
Gibraltar.Gibraltar
09 OctDCzech Czech.
0:0
Croatia.Croatia
08 SepWCroatia Croatia.
4:0
Montenegro.Montenegro
05 SepWFaroe I Faroe I.
0:1
Croatia.Croatia
09 JunWCroatia Croatia.
5:1
Czech.Czech
06 JunWGibraltar Gibraltar.
0:7
Croatia.Croatia
23 MarLFrance France.
2:0
Croatia.Croatia
20 MarWCroatia Croatia.
2:0
France.France

World - World Cup - Qualification Europe World - World Cup - Qualification Europe

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Croatia Croatia7
23-2
19
2 Czech Republic Czech Republic7
12-8
13
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands8
11-9
12
4 Montenegro Montenegro7
6-14
9
5 Gibraltar Gibraltar7
3-22
0
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches