Germany vs Italy Prediction

Germany will host Italy at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK on March 23, 2025, at 19:45 GMT in a highly anticipated UEFA Nations League encounter. With both teams boasting strong squads, this match promises to be an exciting battle.

Germany vs Italy Betting Odds & Predictions
The latest odds favor Germany with a 1.88 price for a home win, while a draw is set at 3.7, and an Italy victory stands at 4.0. According to NerdyTips' AI, the recommended bet is Germany to win (1), backed by a trust level of 5.1/10.

Match Analysis & Expected Performance
Germany is expected to dominate possession with 62%, while Italy is projected to hold 38% of the ball. The home team is likely to take 15 shots, with 5 on target, whereas Italy is predicted to register 8 shots, with 3 on target.

In terms of corners, Germany is expected to earn 5, while Italy may get 3, bringing the total to 8 corners. The anticipated number of yellow cards is 2 for Germany and 1 for Italy.

Germany vs Italy Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Germany and Italy last met on June 14, 2022, when Germany secured a 5-2 victory. Historically, home teams in the UEFA Nations League have won 42.5% of matches, while away teams have claimed 34.0%, with 23.2% ending in a draw.

Italy recently stunned France with a 1-3 away win on September 6, 2024, despite having 5.0 odds to win. This result highlights their ability to perform well away from home.

Predicted Score & Betting Markets
The AI-driven Germany vs Italy prediction suggests a 2-1 win for Germany, with an expected 1-1 scoreline at halftime. The over 1.5 goals market is the most likely outcome, with a trust level of 4.9/10 and odds of 1.26.

Final Betting Insights
- Best Bet: Germany to win (1.88 odds)
- Alternative Bet: Over 1.5 goals (1.26 odds)
- Predicted Score: Germany 2-1 Italy

Germany’s home advantage and attacking strength make them favorites, but Italy’s recent away form suggests they could pose a challenge. Bettors should consider the over 1.5 goals market, given that 73.8% of UEFA Nations League matches have surpassed this threshold.