Iceland vs Luxembourg Prediction - Nov 16, 2026
Match Tips
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Stats Predictions
AI
Iceland
Predicted Lineups
Iceland4-4-2Formation4-4-2Luxembourg- GK78%12Valdimarsson€2.5M
- RB81%4Pálsson€150K
- CB70%16Thórdarson€1.8M
- CB80%3Grétarsson€550K
- LB53%2Tómasson€4M
- RM80%19Ellertsson€6M
- CM88%7Haraldsson€30M
- CM88%8Bergmann Jóhannesson€8M
- LM52%11Þorsteinsson€1M
- ST80%22Guðjohnsen€4M
- ST79%9Óskarsson€20M
- GK91%1Moris€1.2M
- LB87%4Bohnert€400K
- CB79%13Carlson€400K
- CB65%5Selimović€400K
- RB75%18Jans€250K
- LM70%17Kadamani€1M
- CM79%6de Sousa Moreira Cruz€650K
- CM68%19Olesen€500K
- RM83%11Thill€350K
- ST48%9Pereira€100K
- ST44%21Thill€150K
Legend
Position codes
FIFA's codes, in English. The color shows the player's line.
- goalkeeper
- GKgoalkeeper
- defense
- CBcenter-back
- LB · RBleft-back · right-back
- LWB · RWBwing-back
- midfield
- CDMdefensive midfielder
- CMcentral midfielder
- CAMattacking midfielder
- LM · RMleft · right midfielder
- attack
- LW · RWleft · right winger
- STstriker
- CFsecond striker
Where the exact position isn't known, only the line: DEF, MID or ATT.
85%how sure the model is that the player starts€2.5Mthe player's market value (Transfermarkt)
GKgoalkeeperCBdefenseCMmidfieldSTattack
First XI by line
First XI by line
The market value (Transfermarkt) of each team's first XI, added up by line: attack, midfield, defense and goalkeeper.
IcelandSquad strength
Squad strength
How much of the market value of each team's squad (Transfermarkt) is available for this match.
- available
- doubtful
- out: injured or suspended
In the absentees list, the colored values are the ones that count.
- Iceland€80.2M of €82.4M available97%
- Luxembourg€9.55M of €10.3M available92%
Absent
| Iceland | Luxembourg |
|---|---|
GK Olafsson E.€4Millness | Seid Korać CB€1.3Munavailable |
| CBMagnússon H.€450Kyellow cards | Christopher Martins PereiraCDM€3.5Mmuscle injury |
| CDMThordarson G.€700Khamstring injury | Barreiro L.CM€20Munavailable |
| CAMIngason K.€2.5Mknee injury · doubtful | Omar Natami CAM€175Kyellow cards |
| LMBjarkason B.€700Kunavailable | Sinani D.CAM€2.5Munavailable |
| LWAnderson M.€1.8Minjury | Aiman DardariLW€600Kunavailable |
| CFGuðmundsson A.€12Mshoulder injury | Yvandro Borges Sanchesknee injury |
| Andresson B.unavailable | |
| Finnsson K.injury |
Preview
AI
Iceland vs Luxembourg Prediction: Reykjavik Decider
Our Iceland vs Luxembourg prediction points firmly toward the hosts when the teams meet at Laugardalsvöllur in Reykjavik on Monday, November 16, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 17:00 GMT, with promotion and pride creating very different pressures.
Iceland have promotion within touching distance
Iceland enter the final Group C4 fixture in first place with 11 points. A victory or draw will secure top spot and promotion to UEFA Nations League B, and their preparation could hardly have been better. Arnar Gunnlaugsson’s side travelled to Bulgaria on Friday and returned with a convincing 5-0 win.
That performance captured the direct style Gunnlaugsson has developed since taking charge in early 2025. Iceland move the ball forward quickly, look for their strikers early and attack open spaces without unnecessary decoration. It may not belong in an art gallery, but it has been extremely effective.
Andri Gudjohnsen scored a hat-trick against Bulgaria, including a penalty, while Orri Óskarsson also found the net. Real Sociedad forward Óskarsson has reportedly scored nine goals across domestic and European club competitions this season. With Gudjohnsen equally sharp and no major injury or suspension concerns, Iceland should field a strong starting XI.
Luxembourg arrive with problems at both ends
Luxembourg sit fourth with three points and are fighting to avoid relegation to League D. Their 1-0 home loss to Estonia on November 13 was a painful result, particularly in front of more than 9,200 supporters. It extended their losing sequence to four group matches, all without scoring.
Manager Jeff Strasser must rebuild a struggling attack while handling several absences. Christopher Martins, Leandro Barreiro, Danel Sinani and Seid Korac are unavailable through injury, while defender Dirk Carlson is suspended. Tim Hall has returned, with Eldin Dzogovic, Farid Ikene and Patrick Macedo among the players called in to reinforce a depleted group.
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IcelandForm
IcelandH2H
Iceland
Luxembourg1Iceland1Draws1LuxembourgScores as played, home team first
Recent Matches
Iceland
WDWWD
BulgariaIceland05025.001.80
EstoniaIceland00005.901.65IcelandBulgaria30101.606.75LuxembourgIceland03023.502.35IcelandEstonia11101.3112.00
ArgentinaIceland30101.2318.50
JapanIceland10001.2016.00
HaitiIceland11003.602.20
CanadaIceland22021.586.75
MexicoIceland40201.2810.50 No matches for this selection.
Luxembourg
LLLLW
LuxembourgEstonia01012.553.10LuxembourgBulgaria02022.553.30EstoniaLuxembourg10102.882.92LuxembourgIceland03023.502.35BulgariaLuxembourg12112.503.65
AlbaniaLuxembourg01011.675.90Luxembourg
Italy01007.501.47Luxembourg
Malta30101.755.60MaltaLuxembourg02004.102.27
N. IrelandLuxembourg10101.955.10 No matches for this selection.
Standings
| # | Team | M | G | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Iceland
|
5 | 12-1 | 11 |
| 2 |
Estonia
|
5 | 3-1 | 9 |
| 3 |
Bulgaria
|
5 | 3-10 | 4 |
| 4 |
Luxembourg
|
5 | 2-8 | 3 |