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Match Prediction

Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa Prediction

Finished
USA flag USA
USL Championship

Las V

€3.60m

20 Apr03:30
1 : 4

FC Tulsa

€4.68m

Preview

Las V vs FC Tulsa Prediction USL Championship

The neon glow of Cashman Field will set the stage for a intriguing USL Championship battle as the Las Vegas Lights host FC Tulsa on April 20, 2025. With kickoff at 03:30 GMT, this isn’t just another fixture—it’s a duel between two sides with contrasting fortunes, tactical quirks, and a recent history of springing surprises. Will the Lights shine bright, or will Tulsa silence the desert crowd? Let’s dive into the numbers, the drama, and the betting angles that make this matchup a fascinating puzzle.

The Stakes: A Tale of Two Teams

Las Vegas Lights, valued at €3.60m, have been the definition of unpredictability this season. Their gritty 1-1 draw against San Antonio—a result few saw coming at 5.5 odds—showcased their ability to scrap for points. But consistency remains elusive. Meanwhile, FC Tulsa (€4.68m squad value) arrive with a chip on their shoulder after a shock 1-0 win over Phoenix Rising, defying 5.3 odds. Their 3-1 victory over the Lights in March 2024 still lingers in memory, a reminder that Tulsa knows how to exploit Vegas’ defensive frailties.

Stats Don’t Lie (But They Do Tease)

USL trends paint a clear picture: home wins dominate at 42.2%, but Tulsa’s recent away form—and that 27.3% league-wide away win rate—adds intrigue. The AI’s predicted 0-1 scoreline (HT 0-0) leans into Tulsa’s growing defensive solidity, while the Lights’ struggles in front of goal suggest this could be a tense, low-scoring affair. With only 30% of USL games exceeding 3.5 goals, the ‘Under 3.5 goals’ bet at 1.33 odds feels like stealing candy from a casino—sweet and statistically sound.

Betting Insights: Where Value Hides

NerdyTips’ AI throws two intriguing options into the ring: the ‘Under 3.5 goals’ pick (7.0/10 confidence) and a cautious X2 (Double Chance: Draw or Tulsa win) at 1.77 odds. The latter reflects Tulsa’s resilience and Vegas’ penchant for flattering to deceive. Remember, the Lights’ odds of 2.1 last March crumbled in that 3-1 defeat—history has a way of repeating itself. Meanwhile, Tulsa’s defense might be tighter than a Vegas slot machine’s payout odds lately, making the underdog angle tempting.

The Narrative: Drama Under the Lights

This isn’t just about cold numbers. It’s about momentum. Las Vegas’ draw against San Antonio was a moral victory, but moral victories don’t pad the standings. Tulsa’s win over Phoenix, however, was a statement—proof they can grind out results against heavyweights. If they can replicate that defensive discipline, the AI’s lean toward X2 starts to make emotional sense. And let’s not forget: 50.7% of USL games see both teams score, but with Vegas’ attack sputtering and Tulsa’s backline organized, this might be one of the exceptions.

Final Verdict: Trust the Trends or Roll the Dice?

Las Vegas Lights vs FC Tulsa prediction models agree: goals could be scarce. The AI’s top bet (Under 3.5 goals) aligns with the league’s 30% rate for high-scoring games, while the X2 recommendation whispers of Tulsa’s growing confidence. Will the Lights flicker to life, or will Tulsa turn Cashman Field into their own fortress? One thing’s certain—this won’t be a boring night in the desert.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Las V vs FC Tulsa

U3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303
7/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -130

FC Tulsa to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No 100

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 107

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

1.9
Total Goals
2.9
0.8
Goals Scored
1.6
1.1
Goals Against
1.3

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
5
4
Over 1.5 Goals
5
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
3
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Las Vegas Lights
0 - 6 - 2
FC Tulsa
Las Vegas Lights Las V 20-Apr-25
1:4
FC Tulsa FC Tulsa
FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 12-Sep-24
1:1
Las V Las Vegas Lights
Las Vegas Lights Las V 17-Mar-24
1:3
FC Tulsa FC Tulsa
Las Vegas Lights Las V 14-May-23
1:1
FC Tulsa FC Tulsa
FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 29-Aug-19
1:1
Las V Las Vegas Lights
Las Vegas Lights Las V 26-May-19
0:0
FC Tulsa FC Tulsa
FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 01-Jul-18
2:2
Las V Las Vegas Lights
Las Vegas Lights Las V 06-May-18
1:1
FC Tulsa FC Tulsa

USA - USL Championship USA - USL Championship

Team Matches Goals Points
1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa30
50-30
57
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Rep30
44-27
48
3 New Mexico United New Mexico Uni30
45-41
48
4 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomo30
47-45
41
5 San Antonio San Antonio30
39-38
40
6 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising30
48-48
40
7 Orange County SC Orange County 30
44-45
39
8 Colorado Springs Colorado Sprin30
35-47
37
9 Lexington Lexington30
31-42
36
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots30
42-52
32
11 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay30
27-45
29
12 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Ligh30
23-50
27
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