Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Latvia
€9.68m
Albania
€108.55m
Preview
The World Cup Qualification Europe clash between Latvia and Albania at Stadions Skonto promises to be a fascinating encounter, with both teams eager to secure crucial points. The Latvia vs Albania prediction leans heavily toward the visitors, but football is never that simple. The stakes are high, and the atmosphere in Riga will be electric as these two nations lock horns.
The current betting odds tell a clear story: Latvia are the underdogs at 5.0 for a home win, the draw is priced at 3.5, and Albania are favorites at 1.74. These numbers reflect Albania’s superior squad quality and recent form, but they also hint at Latvia’s resilience at home. For bettors, the value lies in Albania’s consistency, making the away win the standout pick in the 1x2 market.
The gulf in squad strength is stark. Latvia’s market value sits at €9.68m, while Albania’s roster is valued at €108.55m—a difference that often translates to dominance on the pitch. Albania’s expected 61% possession and 12 total shots (3 on target) compared to Latvia’s 39% possession and 7 shots (1 on target) suggest a one-sided affair. Add in Albania’s recent 2-2 away draw against Croatia (odds 6.9), and it’s clear they can compete against stronger opposition.
This match is unlikely to be a goal-fest. The under 2.5 goals bet at 1.6 odds aligns with the predicted flow: Albania controlling the game but struggling to break down a compact Latvia defense. With just 5 corners expected (2 for Latvia, 3 for Albania) and few yellow cards anticipated, this could be a disciplined, cautious encounter.
In World Cup Qualification Europe, home teams win 44.7% of matches, while away teams triumph 35.9% of the time. Draws occur in 19.4% of games, but Albania’s superior firepower tilts the scales. Notably, both teams score in just 39.2% of qualifiers, and while over 1.5 goals land in 78.3% of games, the under 2.5 goals market hits 53.0% of the time—a stat that bolsters our low-scoring prediction.
While Latvia’s home advantage can’t be ignored, the data overwhelmingly supports Albania. The sports betting markets reflect this, and our Latvia vs Albania prediction leans into the numbers. For those looking for value, Albania’s away win at 1.74 and under 2.5 goals at 1.6 are the smart plays. Expect a tight, tactical battle with Albania edging it.
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2 -135
Albania is expected to win with odds of -1352 -135
Albania is expected to win with odds of -135Under 2.5 -167
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -149
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -357
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
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World - World Cup - Qualification Europe| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
England | 8 | 22-0 | 24 |
| 2 |
Albania | 8 | 7-5 | 14 |
| 3 |
Serbia | 8 | 9-10 | 13 |
| 4 |
Latvia | 8 | 5-15 | 5 |
| 5 |
Andorra | 8 | 3-16 | 1 |
