Ludogorets vs Beroe Prediction

Sunday noon prediction: Ludogorets vs Beroe at Huvepharma

The Ludogorets vs Beroe prediction for Sunday, 15 February 2026 (12:30 GMT) starts with context: this is a game where the table, the budgets, and the styles all lean in one direction, but the calendar asks tricky questions. Ludogorets host at Huvepharma Arena in Razgrad, with the league race in mind and a European date around the corner.

Form, stakes, and the human side of the matchup

Ludogorets arrive with the neat confidence of a team that knows how February is supposed to look. They edged Levski 1-0 in the Cup quarter-finals on Feb 11, lifted the Bulgarian Super Cup earlier this month, and sit 3rd in the league on 40 points after a 3-1 win over Lokomotiv Sofia. Beroe, meanwhile, are 13th with 17 points and living week-to-week; the 0-0 away draw at Botev Plovdiv on Feb 8 was valuable precisely because it looked unlikely before kick-off.

There is also the long view: Ludogorets have dominated this head to head for years (29 wins in 39 league meetings), and even the most recent meeting we have on record (2025-02-16) ended 2-1 for the Eagles. Add the squad values—€48.88m vs €6.47m—and you understand why bookmakers price this like a home routine.

Tactics and team news: rotation versus resistance

Per-Mathias Høgmo, appointed in November 2025, is expected to keep Ludogorets in a 4-2-3-1, but he also has to think about the UEFA Europa League play-off against Ferencvaros on Feb 19. That usually means managed minutes, not managed ambition. With Aguibou Camara out until April after surgery and Edvin Kurtulus only nearing a return, rotation may come from choice rather than luxury.

The constant is Ivaylo Chochev: 11 league goals and a habit of being in the right pocket when the ball drops. For Beroe, Josu Uribe (also appointed Nov 2025) has leaned into structure first. Injuries limit options—Viktorio Valkov and Emir Kuhinja are long-term absentees—and Caio Lopes must mind the next booking. Leandro Godoy remains their main threat, though transfer noise has not helped his rhythm.

• Ludogorets plan: high possession, wide pressure, quick restarts after losing the ball.
• Beroe plan: compact block, protect the middle, counter when Ludogorets’ full-backs advance.
• Extra note: part of ticket proceeds support the “I Believe and Help” association, adding a community feel to the afternoon.

Odds, betting tips, and our Ludogorets vs Beroe prediction

The market is clear: Home win 1.13, Draw 8.5, Away win 21.0. That matches the story told by recent performances—remember Ludogorets even beat Celta Vigo 3-2 away in November at huge odds (5.1), while Beroe’s best recent result is that gritty 0-0 at Botev.

What NerdyTips’ AI sees in the numbers

• 1X2 pick: 1 (confidence 6.7/10) at 1.13.
• Recommended bet: H1 (Ludogorets -1.5) with trust 6.6/10 at 1.42.
• Goals market: Under 3.5 (trust 6.5/10) at 1.74.

The pairing of H1 and Under 3.5 tells a specific match script: Ludogorets control without needing a scoreline that runs away. The forecast supports that: 70% possession to 30%, shots 17-5, on-target 6-1, corners 9-2 (11 total), and just one yellow card each—more businesslike than heated. The predicted final score is 2:0, with a 1:0 half-time lead, which fits both possible rotation and Beroe’s deeper setup.

So the second mention is simple: our Ludogorets vs Beroe Prediction leans to a controlled home win, with the best betting tips angle being Ludogorets to win by two goals, while respecting that Beroe may keep the total goals down if they defend with discipline.