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Match Prediction

Palermo vs Empoli Prediction

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Palermo

€34.50m

7 Feb11:15
3 : 2

Empoli

€36.00m

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Palermo vs Empoli Prediction Serie B

Palermo vs Empoli prediction: stats, tactics and best bets

Palermo vs Empoli prediction time is here, and the calendar says Saturday, 2026-02-07 at 16:15 GMT (17:15 local) at the Stadio Renzo Barbera. Palermo arrive flying high in 4th with 33 points and a 10-match unbeaten run, while Empoli sit 11th on 28 points and are still looking for the “on” switch in attack. It’s a classic Serie B story: one team riding momentum, the other trying to rediscover it.

Team form, table context, and what it means for bettors

Filippo Inzaghi’s Palermo have turned the Barbera into a tough workplace for visitors, winning five straight home league games. Recent results like the 1-0 over Padova and that 3-0 away win at Bari back up the idea that this side can win without needing chaos. They’re also top of the clean-sheet charts with 11, and have kept three in a row—so if you’re shopping total goals markets, you can already see where this is going.

Empoli, coached by Alessio Dionisi, have been far less stable: their recent sequence (D-L-L-W-D) includes a 0-0 with Modena, and they’ve gone 270+ league minutes without scoring. Dionisi even called Palermo a “battleship” recently—rare honesty that will resonate with anyone who has watched Palermo defend a one-goal lead like it’s a family heirloom.

Tactics, injuries, and the key match-ups

Both teams have often lined up in a 3-4-2-1. Palermo’s version is more direct: get the ball into the right areas and let Joel Pohjanpalo (13 league goals) do the finishing, with Antonio Palumbo (6 assists) supplying the ideas. Empoli prefer patient possession, but lately the final pass has felt like it’s stuck in traffic.

  • Palermo absences: Giangiacomo Magnani is out (hamstring). Claudio Gomes and Niccolò Pierozzi are back in training and could feature.
  • Empoli absences: Pietro Pellegri is out long-term (ACL), with Gabriele Indragoli and Simone Romagnoli also unavailable.
  • Head to head: Palermo won 3-1 away at Empoli in December 2025—an important note for anyone weighing “can Empoli nick it?” questions.

Palermo vs Empoli prediction: odds, model tips, and projected stats

The betting odds point strongly to Palermo: Home 1.72, Draw 3.7, Away 5.35. Our numbers still expect Palermo to control the ball (59% vs 41%) and outshoot Empoli (15–8), with on-target shots projected at 4–2. Corners lean Palermo too (4–3, total 7), while discipline looks even (2 yellow cards each). Market values are close (€34.50m vs €36.00m), but form usually beats balance sheets.

  • Best tip: Under 3.5 total goals (trust 7.4/10, odds 1.31). NerdyTips’ AI agrees—this match profile screams “few goals.”
  • 1X2 market call: Away win “2” (confidence 1.72, odds 5.35). It’s a high-risk stab, not a safe base bet.
  • Expected score: 0:1, with a 0:0 half-time score.

How do we connect the dots? Palermo’s clean sheets and Empoli’s scoring drought naturally support under 3.5. The spicy part is the away-win lean: Empoli have shown they can spoil a trip when priced long—like that surprise 1:1 at Como on 2025-03-29 at big odds—so the model is leaving room for a “smash-and-grab” if Palermo waste chances. Still, for most bettors, the sensible Palermo vs Empoli prediction is simple: back the low-scoring script, and let the goals take the day off.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Palermo didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Palermo vs Empoli

U3.5 -323

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -323
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 435

Empoli is expected to win with odds of 435
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -323

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -122

At least one team is not expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 149

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

2.05
xG
0.9
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2
Expected Goals
1.3
2.3
Total Goals
2.2
1.8
Goals Scored
1.2
0.5
Goals Against
1
48%
Possession
47%
15
Total Shots
11.6
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.1
7
Shots off Goal
4.7
15.6
Fouls
13.5
4.5
Corners
4.3
1.1
Offsides
1.5
2.2
Yellow Cards
2
372
Total Passes
381

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
4
6
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
4
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Palermo
2 - 3 - 4
Empoli
Empoli Empoli 07-Dec-25
1:3
Palermo Palermo
Empoli Empoli 02-Feb-18
4:0
Palermo Palermo
Palermo Palermo 09-Sep-17
3:3
Empoli Empoli
Palermo Palermo 28-May-17
2:1
Empoli Empoli
Empoli Empoli 07-Jan-17
1:0
Palermo Palermo
Empoli Empoli 19-Mar-16
0:0
Palermo Palermo
Palermo Palermo 02-Nov-15
0:1
Empoli Empoli
Palermo Palermo 01-Mar-15
0:0
Empoli Empoli
Empoli Empoli 05-Oct-14
3:0
Palermo Palermo

Profile time Recent Matches of Palermo

14 Feb Palermo Palermo.
-
Entella. Entella
10 FebD Sampdoria Sampdoria.
3:3
Palermo. Palermo
07 FebW Palermo Palermo.
3:2
Empoli. Empoli
30 JanW Bari Bari.
0:3
Palermo. Palermo
24 JanD Modena Modena.
0:0
Palermo. Palermo
18 JanW Palermo Palermo.
1:0
Spezia. Spezia
11 JanD Mantova Mantova.
1:1
Palermo. Palermo
27 DecW Palermo Palermo.
1:0
Padova. Padova
20 DecD Avellino Avellino.
2:2
Palermo. Palermo
12 DecW Palermo Palermo.
1:0
Sampdoria. Sampdoria

Profile time Recent Matches of Empoli

07 FebLPalermo Palermo.
3:2
Empoli.Empoli
31 JanDEmpoli Empoli.
0:0
Modena.Modena
23 JanLCarrarese Carrarese.
3:0
Empoli.Empoli
17 JanLEmpoli Empoli.
0:1
Sudtirol.Sudtirol
10 JanWCesena Cesena.
0:1
Empoli.Empoli
27 DecDEmpoli Empoli.
1:1
Frosinone.Frosinone
21 DecWMantova Mantova.
0:1
Empoli.Empoli
13 DecLJuve Stabia Juve Stabi.
2:0
Empoli.Empoli
07 DecLEmpoli Empoli.
1:3
Palermo.Palermo
29 NovWEmpoli Empoli.
5:0
Bari.Bari

Italy - Serie B Italy - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Venezia Venezia24
46-22
50
2 Monza Monza23
36-19
47
3 Frosinone Frosinone23
41-21
46
4 Palermo Palermo24
39-19
45
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro24
32-26
38
6 Modena Modena24
31-19
37
7 Cesena Cesena24
32-30
37
8 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia23
27-26
35
9 Carrarese Carrarese24
31-33
30
10 Sudtirol Sudtirol23
24-23
29
11 Padova Padova24
25-30
29
12 Empoli Empoli23
28-31
28
13 Avellino Avellino23
28-37
28
14 Sampdoria Sampdoria24
26-32
26
15 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella24
23-31
25
16 Reggiana Reggiana24
26-34
24
17 Mantova Mantova24
24-38
23
18 Spezia Spezia23
20-30
21
19 Bari Bari23
19-36
20
20 Pescara Pescara24
27-48
15
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