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Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes Prediction - Nov 7, 2026

PSG €1.36bn
Nov 719:45
VS
Troyes €44.25m
11.16 X8.60 217.00

Match Tips

Confidence

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Best Tip
10/10
1x2 Tip
10/10
Total Goals
5.6/10
Both Teams To Score
0.8/10
Half-Time Score
Correct Score

Stats Predictions

AI
PSG
Troyes
xGParis Saint Germain: 2.82Estac Troyes: 0.69
Ball PossessionParis Saint Germain: 73%Estac Troyes: 27%
Total ShotsParis Saint Germain: 21Estac Troyes: 7
Shots on GoalParis Saint Germain: 10Estac Troyes: 2
Shots Off GoalParis Saint Germain: 6Estac Troyes: 3
CornersParis Saint Germain: 6Estac Troyes: 3
Yellow CardsParis Saint Germain: 1Estac Troyes: 2
OffsidesParis Saint Germain: 1Estac Troyes: 1
FoulsParis Saint Germain: 8Estac Troyes: 17

Preview

AI
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction guide

This Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction points strongly toward the hosts, but Troyes have recently shown enough resistance to make the tactical story more interesting than the betting odds suggest.

Match setting, form and tactical outlook

PSG welcome ESTAC Troyes to the Parc des Princes on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 GMT, or 20:45 local time, in Matchweek 10 of Ligue 1. Paris begin the weekend top of the table with 20 points, while newly promoted Troyes sit close to the relegation places with eight.

The hosts arrive in powerful form. A 5-1 league victory over Le Havre was followed by an exciting 4-2 Champions League success against Barcelona. Those results underline PSG’s ability to attack in waves, dominate territory and keep scoring even when opponents survive the opening pressure.

However, Luis Enrique reportedly has an important selection problem. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia suffered a serious right-knee ACL injury against Barcelona and is expected to miss a long period. His absence removes direct running and one-on-one quality, although PSG’s squad depth remains exceptional. The home squad is valued at approximately €1.36bn, compared with €44.25m for Troyes.

Troyes should defend in a compact low block, close central spaces and search for counterattacks or set pieces. Their recent results offer some encouragement. On October 25, they earned a determined 0-0 draw away to Toulouse despite pre-match odds of 6.1. They then ended a lengthy winless spell by beating Le Mans 2-0 on October 31.

  • PSG approach: long periods of possession, aggressive pressing and wide overloads.
  • Troyes approach: deep defending, short distances between lines and quick breaks.
  • Key tactical issue: whether the visitors can withstand the first 30 minutes.

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Statistics

Average / Match
PSG
Troyes
Expected GoalsParis Saint Germain: 2.92Estac Troyes: 1.04
Total GoalsParis Saint Germain: 4.5Estac Troyes: 2.7
Goals ScoredParis Saint Germain: 3.6Estac Troyes: 0.9
Goals AgainstParis Saint Germain: 0.9Estac Troyes: 1.8
PossessionParis Saint Germain: 64%Estac Troyes: 39%
Total ShotsParis Saint Germain: 21.2Estac Troyes: 13.7
Shots on GoalParis Saint Germain: 10.3Estac Troyes: 3.3
Shots off GoalParis Saint Germain: 6Estac Troyes: 6.1
FoulsParis Saint Germain: 7.2Estac Troyes: 12.9
CornersParis Saint Germain: 4.8Estac Troyes: 6.2
OffsidesParis Saint Germain: 1.4Estac Troyes: 1.8
Yellow CardsParis Saint Germain: 0.78Estac Troyes: 2
Total PassesParis Saint Germain: 659Estac Troyes: 357

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
PSG
Troyes
WinsParis Saint Germain: 10Estac Troyes: 2
Over 1.5 GoalsParis Saint Germain: 9Estac Troyes: 8
Over 2.5 GoalsParis Saint Germain: 8Estac Troyes: 4
Over 3.5 GoalsParis Saint Germain: 7Estac Troyes: 3
Both Teams ScoredParis Saint Germain: 7Estac Troyes: 4
Unexpected WinsParis Saint Germain: 0Estac Troyes: 0
Unexpected LosesParis Saint Germain: 0Estac Troyes: 0

H2H

Total meetings 10
PSG
Troyes
9Wins
1Draws
0Wins
Recent meetings 9
4.1Goals per match
56%Both Teams Scored
67%Over 2.5 Goals
8PSG1Draws0Troyes
May 07 2023: Troyes 1–3 PSG
Oct 29 2022: PSG 4–3 Troyes
May 08 2022: PSG 2–2 Troyes
Aug 07 2021: Troyes 1–2 PSG
Mar 03 2018: Troyes 0–2 PSG
Nov 29 2017: PSG 2–0 Troyes
Mar 13 2016: Troyes 0–9 PSG
Nov 28 2015: PSG 4–1 Troyes
Apr 13 2013: Troyes 0–1 PSG

Scores as played, home team first

Recent Matches

Standings

France - Ligue 1
# Team M G P
1 Paris Saint Germain 9 21-10 20
2 Lille 9 12-6 18
3 Lyon 9 15-7 17
4 Paris FC 9 16-10 17
5 Rennes 9 20-19 16
6 Marseille 9 20-13 15
7 Monaco 9 12-10 15
8 Nice 9 13-12 14
9 Lens 9 16-13 13
10 Stade Brestois 29 9 16-12 12
11 Lorient 9 7-8 12
12 Toulouse 9 12-13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 17-19 10
14 Auxerre 9 13-23 10
15 Angers 9 9-17 8
16 Estac Troyes 9 7-16 8
17 Le Mans 9 11-18 7
18 Le Havre 9 9-20 2
Champions League league stage Qualifying Europa League league stage Play-offs Relegation Playoffs Relegation