Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
When Petrolul Ploiesti hosts SCM Gloria Buzau on April 21, 2025, the Stadionul Ilie Oană will witness a classic Liga I encounter between a team flying high and another fighting to stay afloat. Petrolul, sitting comfortably in 2nd place with 25 points, are the clear favorites against 10th-place Buzau, who have scraped together just 16 points so far. The odds tell the story: Petrolul at 1.75, a draw at 3.3, and Buzau at a distant 4.9. But as any football fan knows, the numbers don’t always write the script.
The stats scream 'under 2.5 goals' (1.55 odds, 7.5/10 confidence), and it’s easy to see why. Petrolul are expected to dominate with 58% possession, 13 shots (3 on target), and 5 corners, while Buzau will likely spend much of the game chasing shadows—managing just 42% possession and 8 shots (2 on target). Their last meeting? A goalless stalemate that had fans checking their pulse to stay awake. With Liga I’s over-2.5-goal rate at a modest 41.6%, this one has 'tight and tense' written all over it.
Buzau’s recent shock 2-0 win at Hermannstadt (6.0 odds) proves they can punch above their weight, but Petrolul’s gritty 1-1 draw against FCSB (5.8 odds) shows they’re no pushovers either. The visitors’ higher yellow-card tendency (2 per game vs. Petrolul’s 1) suggests they’ll resort to roughhousing if needed. Their defense might need a GPS to find Petrolul’s goal, but if they dig in, this could be another slog. Meanwhile, Petrolul’s €9.7m squad value—slightly heftier than Buzau’s €8.46m—hints at just enough quality to grind out a win.
The AI gives Petrolul a 4.8/10 trust rating for the 1x2 market, and the stats back it up. Liga I home wins hover at 42%, and Petrolul’s control of the game should tip the scales. With both teams scoring in just 46.6% of matches and over 1.55 goals landing 66.3% of the time, a 1-0 Petrolul win feels like the smart pick. Their expected goals (xG) are low, their defense is tight, and Buzau’s attack hasn’t exactly been lighting up the league.
This won’t be a thriller, but Petrolul Ploiesti should have just enough to edge past SCM Gloria Buzau. Expect a slow burn, a moment of quality, and maybe a frustrated yellow card or two from the visitors. The prediction? A 1-0 home win, under 2.5 goals, and a game that’s more chess match than fireworks display. Sometimes, the boring bets are the smartest ones.
Read More
Petrolul Ploiesti didn't play better in the last H2H match!
U2.5 -182
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1821 -133
Petrolul is expected to win with odds of -133Under 2.5 -182
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -156
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -189
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
|
|
2
-
4
-
2
|
|
 Petrolul |
21-Apr-25
4:0
| SCM G  |
| SCM G |
11-Nov-24
0:1
| Petrolul |
| Petrolul |
15-Jul-24
0:0
| SCM G |
| Petrolul |
05-Mar-22
0:0
| SCM G |
| SCM G |
17-Jul-21
1:0
| Petrolul |
| Petrolul |
17-Apr-21
1:1
| SCM G |
| Petrolul |
25-Nov-20
1:1
| SCM G |
Recent Matches of Petrolul | 30 Jan |
Dinamo B.
|
-
| Petrolul.
| |
| 25 Jan | L |
Petrolul.
|
0:1
| Farul C.
|
Recent Matches of SCM G
Romania - Liga I| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AFC | 9 | 12-8 | 36 |
| 2 |
Oţelul | 9 | 13-5 | 35 |
| 3 |
Petrolul | 9 | 10-10 | 31 |
| 4 |
Uta Arad | 9 | 9-11 | 31 |
| 5 |
Farul | 9 | 12-9 | 31 |
| 6 |
FC Botosani | 9 | 11-12 | 29 |
| 7 |
Politehnica | 9 | 9-5 | 28 |
| 8 |
Unirea | 9 | 11-8 | 27 |
| 9 |
Sepsi OSK Sfantu | 9 | 7-16 | 26 |
| 10 |
SCM Gloria | 9 | 4-14 | 17 |
