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Match Prediction

Sibenik vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

Finished
Croatia flag Croatia
HNL

Sibenik

€7.60m

25 May11:00
0 : 1

Hajduk S

€46.35m

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Sibenik vs Hajduk S Prediction HNL

Sibenik vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction: Can the Underdogs Shock the Favorites?

The Sibenik vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction for this weekend’s HNL fixture paints a clear picture: a classic David vs. Goliath battle. Sibenik, languishing in 10th place with just 28 points, host a Hajduk Split side sitting pretty in 3rd with 60 points—a staggering 32-point gap that tells the story of their seasons. Kickoff at Stadion Šubićevac is set for 16:00 GMT on May 25, 2025, and while the odds scream favoritism for the visitors (Away win: 1.4), football loves a twist. But will there be one?

The Tale of Two Campaigns

Sibenik’s season has been a grind, with survival likely their only remaining goal. Meanwhile, Hajduk Split, with a squad valued at €46.35m (compared to Sibenik’s €7.60m), have their sights set on consolidating their top-three status. The betting odds reflect this divide:

  • Home win: 7.0 (a true underdog story)
  • Draw: 4.45 (optimistic, but not impossible)
  • Away win: 1.4 (the bookmakers’ safe bet)

For context, a €10 stake on a Sibenik victory would return €90—tempting for risk-takers, but the stats suggest it’s a long shot.

What the Numbers Say

The AI’s predicted stats align almost perfectly with the betting odds, painting Hajduk Split as dominant:

  • Possession: 71% for Hajduk vs. 29% for Sibenik
  • Shots: 15 (3 on target) for Hajduk vs. 4 (1 on target) for Sibenik
  • Corners: 6 for Hajduk vs. 1 for Sibenik
  • Discipline: Just 1 yellow card each expected

This isn’t just a mismatch—it’s a tactical siege waiting to happen. Sibenik will need more than a lucky rabbit’s foot to topple Hajduk Split.

Betting Tips: Where’s the Value?

The AI’s top recommendations for this Sibenik vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction are pragmatic:

  1. Under 3.5 goals (odds: 1.33, trust score: 6.7/10) – With Hajduk likely to control the tempo and Sibenik defending deep, a high-scoring thriller seems unlikely.
  2. 1x2 – Hajduk Split to win (odds: 1.4, trust score: 5.5) – The safer play, given the gulf in quality and recent form.

Historical HNL trends back this up:

  • Only 26.6% of matches see over 3.5 goals
  • Away teams win 30.4% of games (but Hajduk are no ordinary away side)
  • Both teams score in just 47.0% of fixtures

Head-to-Head: A History of Mismatches

Recent head to head meetings reinforce Hajduk’s upper hand. Last December, they edged Sibenik 2-1 (pre-match odds: Hajduk 1.36). Sibenik did pull off a shock 1-1 draw at Rijeka (odds: 10.0), and Hajduk themselves stunned Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 away (odds: 5.0)—proof that miracles happen. But betting on them? That’s faith, not strategy.

Final Prediction: A Comfortable Away Win

The AI’s projected scoreline—0-1 at halftime, 0-1 at full-time—suggests a tight but controlled Hajduk victory. For beginner bettors, this Sibenik vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction boils down to two smart plays: the total goals market (under 3.5) and the straightforward away win. The stats, the odds, and the history all point in one direction. Unless Sibenik conjures some magic, Hajduk Split should leave Stadion Šubićevac with three points.

So, grab your betting slip, trust the numbers, and enjoy the game. Just don’t expect many fireworks.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Sibenik is relegated!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sibenik vs Hajduk S

U3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -303
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 -250

Hajduk S is expected to win with odds of -250
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -303

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -143

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -172

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

29%
Ball Possession
71%
4
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Goal
3
1
Shots Off Goal
8
1
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.2
Total Goals
2.1
0.8
Goals Scored
0.8
1.4
Goals Against
1.3
42%
Possession
52%
8.4
Total Shots
12.1
3.1
Shots on Goal
2.9
3.2
Shots off Goal
6.6
11.3
Fouls
11.6
3.3
Corners
5
0.9
Offsides
1.7
1.5
Yellow Cards
1.78
0.1
Red Cards
0.33
299
Total Passes
386

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
7
4
Over 2.5 Goals
3
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
3
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Sibenik
2 - 1 - 15
HNK Hajduk Split
Sibenik Sibenik 25-May-25
0:1
Hajduk S HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split Hajduk S 30-Mar-25
1:0
Sibenik Sibenik
Sibenik Sibenik 22-Dec-24
1:2
Hajduk S HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split Hajduk S 06-Oct-24
4:0
Sibenik Sibenik
HNK Hajduk Split Hajduk S 28-May-23
3:0
Sibenik Sibenik
HNK Hajduk Split Hajduk S 24-May-23
2:0
Sibenik Sibenik
Sibenik Sibenik 01-Apr-23
2:3
Hajduk S HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split Hajduk S 22-Jan-23
2:1
Sibenik Sibenik
Sibenik Sibenik 09-Sep-22
1:1
Hajduk S HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split Hajduk S 09-Apr-22
2:1
Sibenik Sibenik

Profile time Recent Matches of Sibenik

Profile time Recent Matches of Hajduk S

06 DecDDin. Zagreb Din. Zagreb.
1:1
Hajduk Split.Hajduk Split

Croatia - HNL Croatia - HNL

Team Matches Goals Points
1 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka36
49-21
65
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb36
69-41
65
3 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Spl36
49-34
63
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin36
28-24
49
5 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belu36
42-45
48
6 Istra 1961 Istra 196136
39-42
48
7 NK Osijek NK Osijek36
46-52
42
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva 36
45-54
39
9 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica36
29-51
37
10 Sibenik Sibenik36
28-60
30
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