Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Our Slovenia vs Sweden prediction looks ahead to a vital World Cup qualifier in Group B, where both teams are fighting hard for a spot in the 2026 tournament. With Switzerland and Kosovo also in the mix, every point matters. This match promises to be a tense and exciting battle under the lights.
Slovenia faces some challenges with key players missing. Midfielder Mark Zabukovnik is out with a serious injury, and defender Jaka Bijol is also sidelined. However, they can rely on star goalkeeper Jan Oblak and the exciting young talent Benjamin Šeško up front. Coach Matjaž Kek has said his team becomes 'more dangerous' when underestimated, which might be their mindset here.
Sweden, meanwhile, has its own drama. Striker Alexander Isak is in the squad despite a lack of match fitness and an ongoing transfer situation. Coach Jon Dahl Tomasson calls him a 'game-changer,' though he likely won't play the full 90 minutes. They will be without important players like Dejan Kulusevski, Carl Starfelt, and Emil Holm due to injury. The head to head record favors Sweden, who are unbeaten in their last four meetings against Slovenia, with two wins and two draws.
Looking at recent form, Slovenia has been solid, with two wins, two draws, and just one loss in their last five. They are tough to break down, conceding only 0.4 goals per game on average. Sweden, on the other hand, has been in great scoring form, winning four of their last five and averaging a whopping 3.65 goals per match. This sets up a classic battle: Slovenia's organized defense against Sweden's potent attack.
Sweden's coach Tomasson has highlighted these qualifiers as a 'massive challenge' and has pointed to winger Niclas Eliasson as a key player. With a squad value more than double that of Slovenia's, the Swedes have quality all over the pitch. But as Slovenia's recent 1-1 draw away to Austria proved, they should never be counted out, even as underdogs.
Now, let's get into the numbers that inform our Slovenia vs Sweden prediction. Our AI has crunched the data, and the stats paint a clear picture for this fixture. The model expects Sweden to control the game, with 57% possession and significantly more shots (16 to 9). They are also anticipated to have more shots on target (6 to 3), which is often a telling stat.
The betting odds reflect Sweden's status as favorites. An away win is priced at 2.1, while a draw is at 3.3 and a Slovenia home win at 3.65. Based on this and the team's current form, our top AI-generated tip for sports betting is a Double Chance: Sweden Win or Draw (X2) at odds of 1.29, with a high confidence level of 8.2 out of 10.
Our model's most likely outcome in the 1x2 market is an away win for Sweden (2), with a confidence of 6.5. This aligns with the predicted final score of 1-2 and a halftime score of 0-1. We're also anticipating Over 1.5 goals in the match, given the odds of 1.296, though the confidence here is more moderate.
Other interesting stats from our analysis include:
In conclusion, while Slovenia's resilience at home is a factor, Sweden's firepower and strong recent form make them the smart pick. Our final Slovenia vs Sweden prediction is a 1-2 victory for the visitors, continuing their strong start to World Cup qualification.
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Sweden has an unusually high recent form
X2 -345
Sweden to win or draw with odds of -3452 110
Sweden is expected to win with odds of 110Over 1.5 -303
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -115
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O1.5 -159
Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:2
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0
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1
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1
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 Sweden |
27-Sep-22
1:1
| Slovenia  |
| Slovenia |
02-Jun-22
0:2
| Sweden |
World - World Cup - Qualification Europe| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Switzerland | 5 | 13-1 | 13 |
| 2 |
Kosovo | 5 | 5-4 | 10 |
| 3 |
Slovenia | 5 | 2-7 | 3 |
| 4 |
Sweden | 5 | 3-11 | 1 |
