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Dortmund vs Stuttgart Prediction: Stats, Odds, and AI Insights
Welcome to our Dortmund vs Stuttgart prediction for the Bundesliga fixture set for November 22, 2025, at Signal Iduna Park. This match brings together two of Germany’s most exciting teams, both in fine form and sitting near the top of the table. Whether you’re a casual fan or a seasoned sports betting enthusiast, we’ve got you covered with all the latest team news, head to head stats, betting odds, and our AI-powered predictions.
Team Form, Tactics, and Head to Head History
The Bundesliga rarely disappoints, and this Dortmund vs Stuttgart prediction is especially intriguing given the teams’ recent trajectories. Dortmund, the hosts, have started the 2025/26 season with four wins and two draws from their opening six games—unbeaten and currently holding second place. Their recent results include hard-fought victories over Athletic Bilbao, Mainz 05, and Wolfsburg, plus a draw against RB Leipzig. The squad’s market value stands at a hefty €500.50m, reflecting their depth and ambition.
Stuttgart, meanwhile, aren’t far behind. They’ve claimed four wins and suffered two losses in their first six matches, good enough for fourth place. Stuttgart’s victories over Elversberg, FC Heidenheim, FC Köln, and Celta Vigo show a team capable of grinding out results, even as they adjust to a few injury setbacks. Their squad, valued at €339.42m, has shown resilience despite the absence of key midfielders Yannik Keitel and Luca Jaquez.
- Recent head to head: Stuttgart have surprisingly dominated recent meetings, winning five and drawing one of their last six encounters with Dortmund. Who could forget the 5-1 thrashing Stuttgart handed out in September 2024?
- Defensive records: Both teams have been solid at the back this season—Dortmund have conceded just 7 goals in 10 games, while Stuttgart have let in 12 over the same period.
- Key player news: Dortmund’s Nico Schlotterbeck is back from injury, and contract talks are ongoing. Stuttgart’s Serhou Guirassy remains a key attacking threat, while their captain Atakan Karazor recently made his international debut for Türkiye.
- Staff and tactical updates: Dortmund are undergoing backroom changes, with new faces expected in their coaching team. Stuttgart’s management is also in flux, with key staff being courted by rivals.
Betting Odds and What the Numbers Say
Now, let’s break down the sports betting landscape for this fixture. The current betting odds favor a home win, with Dortmund priced at 1.9, a draw at 4.35, and a Stuttgart away win at 4.35. These odds reflect Dortmund’s strong home record and higher squad value, but recent head to head results suggest Stuttgart are no pushovers.
- Recent big results: Dortmund held Bayern Munich to a 2:2 draw away from home last April, defying the odds. Stuttgart also surprised many with a 0:0 draw at Bayer Leverkusen, showing their ability to frustrate top teams.
- Possession and shooting stats: Expect Dortmund to control about 57% of the ball, with Stuttgart seeing 43%. Dortmund are predicted to take 13 shots (3 on target), Stuttgart 11 (also 3 on target). Corners could be plentiful, with 10 expected in total (6 for Dortmund, 4 for Stuttgart).
- Discipline: Our stats suggest 1 yellow card for Dortmund and 2 for Stuttgart—so don’t expect a wild, card-filled contest.
AI Predictions, Betting Tips, and Final Score Forecast
Our AI system has crunched the numbers and weighed the recent form, head to head trends, and current betting odds to come up with the best tips for this Dortmund vs Stuttgart prediction. Here’s what the data tells us:
- Under 3.5 goals (Odds: 1.58, Confidence: 3.2/10): Both teams have strong defensive records and recent matches suggest a tight affair. Our AI sees a maximum of three goals in this match as the best tip, even if the trust level isn’t sky-high.
- Draw in the 1x2 market (Odds: 4.35, Trust: 2.0/10): Given Stuttgart’s recent dominance in head to head meetings and both teams’ tendency to play cautiously in big games, a draw is a value pick for bettors looking for higher returns.
- Final score prediction: 1:1 (First half: 0:0): Our AI expects a chess match, with both sides probing but struggling to break each other down. If you’re looking for a correct score bet, 1:1 is the recommended play.
- Other stats to consider: Both teams are expected to share possession and shots fairly evenly, which supports the under 3.5 goals tip. With each side predicted to have three shots on target, goalkeepers could play a starring role.
- Squad values and form: While Dortmund’s squad is worth significantly more, Stuttgart’s recent head to head record and current form mean they shouldn’t be underestimated in your sports betting strategy.
Summary: What’s the Smart Play?
To wrap up our Dortmund vs Stuttgart prediction, here’s what we recommend for your sports betting slip:
- Under 3.5 goals is the safest tip, given both teams’ defensive strengths and recent results.
- A draw (X) in the 1x2 market offers great value, especially considering Stuttgart’s excellent recent head to head record against Dortmund.
- Final score prediction: 1:1—a result that would keep both teams in the Bundesliga title race.
No matter which way you play it, this match promises tactical intrigue and plenty of talking points for fans and bettors alike. For more Bundesliga insights, betting odds, and expert tips, keep following NerdyTips.com!
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Warning
Dortmund has upcoming match in Europe
Best Tip
The best betting football prediction for Dortmund vs StuttgartU3.5 -172
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1721x2 Tip
X 305
The match is expected to end in a drawTotal Goals
Under 3.5 -172
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchBoth Teams To Score
Yes -175
Both teams are expected to scoreBet Builder Tip
1X&U5.5 -238
Home win/draw and under 5.5 goalsCorrect Score
1:1
Stats Predictions
Average / Match
Overview Last 10 Matches
Head to Head
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|
16
-
7
-
7
|
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Latest Matches
 Stuttgart |
04-Apr-26
0:2
| Dortmund  |
| Stuttgart |
22-Sep-24
5:1
| Dortmund |
| Stuttgart |
06-Dec-23
2:0
| Dortmund |
| Stuttgart |
11-Nov-23
2:1
| Dortmund |
| Stuttgart |
15-Apr-23
3:3
| Dortmund |
| Stuttgart |
08-Apr-22
0:2
| Dortmund |
| Stuttgart |
10-Apr-21
2:3
| Dortmund |
| Stuttgart |
09-Feb-16
1:3
| Dortmund |
| Stuttgart |
29-Aug-10
1:3
| Dortmund |
| Stuttgart |
29-Oct-11
1:1
| Dortmund |
Recent Matches of Dortmund
| 16 May | W |
Werder Bremen
| 0 |
Borussia D
| 2 |
| 08 May | W |
Borussia D
| 3 |
Frankfurt
| 2 |
| 03 May | L |
Borussia M
| 1 |
Borussia D
| 0 |
| 26 Apr | W |
Borussia D
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
| 0 |
| 18 Apr | L |
Hoffenheim
| 2 |
Borussia D
| 1 |
| 11 Apr | L |
Borussia D
| 0 |
Leverkusen
| 1 |
| 04 Apr | W |
VfB S
| 0 |
Borussia D
| 2 |
| 21 Mar | W |
Dortmund
| 3 |
Hamburger
| 2 |
| 14 Mar | W |
Dortmund
| 2 |
Augsburg
| 0 |
| 07 Mar | W |
1. FC Koln
| 1 |
Dortmund
| 2 |
Recent Matches Of Stuttgart
| 23 May | L |  Bayern M |
3 | VfB S |
0 |
| 16 May | D |  Frankfurt |
2 | VfB S |
2 |
| 09 May | W | VfB S |
3 |  Leverkusen |
1 |
| 02 May | D |  Hoffenheim |
3 | VfB S |
3 |
| 26 Apr | D | VfB S |
1 |  Werder Bremen |
1 |
| 23 Apr | W | VfB S |
2 |  SC Freiburg |
1 |
| 19 Apr | L | Bayern M |
4 | VfB S |
2 |
| 12 Apr | W | VfB S |
4 |  Hamburger |
0 |
| 04 Apr | L | VfB S |
0 | Borussia D |
2 |
| 22 Mar | W |  Augsburg |
2 | Stuttgart |
5 |
Germany - Bundesliga
| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Bayern | 34 | 122-36 | 89 |
| 2 |
Borussia | 34 | 70-34 | 73 |
| 3 |
 RB Leipzig | 34 | 66-47 | 65 |
| 4 |
VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 71-49 | 62 |
| 5 |
1899 | 34 | 65-52 | 61 |
| 6 |
Bayer | 34 | 68-47 | 59 |
| 7 |
SC Freiburg | 34 | 51-57 | 47 |
| 8 |
Eintracht | 34 | 61-65 | 44 |
| 9 |
FC Augsburg | 34 | 45-61 | 43 |
| 10 |
 FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 44-53 | 40 |
| 11 |
 Union Berlin | 34 | 44-58 | 39 |
| 12 |
Borussia | 34 | 42-53 | 38 |
| 13 |
Hamburger SV | 34 | 40-54 | 38 |
| 14 |
1. FC Köln | 34 | 49-63 | 32 |
| 15 |
Werder Bremen | 34 | 37-60 | 32 |
| 16 |
 VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 45-69 | 29 |
| 17 |
 1. FC | 34 | 41-72 | 26 |
| 18 |
 FC St. Pauli | 34 | 29-60 | 26 |
