Italy vs France Prediction - Nov 12, 2026
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Italy
Predicted Lineups
Italy4-3-3Formation4-2-3-1France- 90%1Donnarumma
- 48%2Kayode
- 48%19Scalvini
- 80%6Bastoni
- 64%5Calafiori
- 52%16Frattesi
- 71%18Barella
- 77%8Tonali
- 32%7Cambiaghi
- 63%9Esposito
- 48%20Esposito
- 81%16Maignan
- 47%3Truffert
- 48%22Jacquet
- 65%4Upamecano
- 30%2Gusto
- 50%6Camavinga
- 69%14Rabiot
- 64%12Barcola
- 72%11Olise
- 64%20Doué
- 22%Kroupi
Legend
85%how sure the model is that the player starts
Absent
| Italy | France |
|---|---|
 Cambiaso A.muscle injury | Akliouche M. calf injury |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzomuscle injury | Dembélé O.thigh injury |
| Kean M.injury | Pierre Kaluluhamstring injury |
| Locatelli M.knee injury | Koné M.unavailable |
| Mancini G.muscle injury | Koundé J.ankle injury |
| Raspadori G.thigh injury | Lacroix M.muscle injury |
| Ruggeri M.muscle injury | Kylian Mbappéhamstring injury · doubtful |
| Spinazzola L.thigh injury | Saliba W.back injury |
| Tchouameni A.groin injury | |
| Thuram M.muscle injury |
Preview
AI
Italy vs France prediction: a decisive night in Milan
This Italy vs France prediction looks ahead to a major Nations League evening at San Siro. Kickoff is scheduled for 19:45 GMT, or 20:45 CET, on Thursday, November 12, 2026, with qualification pressure adding weight to every pass.
Two famous teams, two returning ideas
France arrive in Milan leading League A Group 1 with 10 points, three more than second-placed Italy. Belgium remain close behind on six, while Turkey have yet to collect a point. Italy therefore need a positive result to strengthen their place in the quarter-finals; France can take firm control of the group.
The managerial stories make the fixture even more interesting. Zinédine Zidane is preparing only his second France squad since taking charge. His aim has been to develop a more dynamic attacking style after the more controlled approach associated with Didier Deschamps. France have responded well, remaining unbeaten with three wins and one draw. Their results include away victories over Turkey and Belgium, a 1-1 home draw against Italy and a convincing 4-1 win over Belgium.
Kylian Mbappé is back after missing the October window with a knee injury. His speed should be central to France’s plan, especially if Italy defend with a high line. However, Zidane has a long absence list: William Saliba, Ousmane Dembélé, Maxence Lacroix, Manu Koné, Jules Koundé and Maghnes Akliouche are unavailable. Paris FC attacking midfielder Pablo Pagis has received his first senior call-up, while Marcus Thuram offers a familiar attacking option.
Italy, meanwhile, have welcomed Roberto Mancini back for a second spell. His rebuild places clear emphasis on younger players, but this is not an easy night for experimentation. The Azzurri may defend in a compact block, protect central areas and attack quickly rather than compete with France for possession.
Italy vs France prediction and best betting tips
The market makes the visitors clear favourites. The latest betting odds are 4.0 for an Italy win, 4.00 for the draw and 1.8995262 for a France victory. That pricing reflects the difference in squad value too: Italy are rated at €912.00m, compared with France’s imposing €1.46bn.
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