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Portugal vs Denmark Prediction - Nov 14, 2026

Portugal €1.06bn
Nov 1419:45
VS
Denmark €430.00m
11.53 X4.80 26.50

Match Tips

Confidence

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Warning

Portugal is champion!

Best Tip
2.1/10
1x2 Tip
1.7/10
Total Goals
2.1/10
Both Teams To Score
1.5/10
Bet Builder Tip
4.1/10
Half-Time Score
Correct Score

Stats Predictions

AI
Portugal
Denmark
xGPortugal: 1.86Denmark: 0.85
Ball PossessionPortugal: 54%Denmark: 46%
Total ShotsPortugal: 13Denmark: 10
Shots on GoalPortugal: 4Denmark: 4
Shots Off GoalPortugal: 5Denmark: 4
CornersPortugal: 5Denmark: 4
Yellow CardsPortugal: 1Denmark: 2
OffsidesPortugal: 2Denmark: 1
FoulsPortugal: 9Denmark: 11

Predicted Lineups

Updated Nov 13 19:44 Refreshed daily until the official lineups are announced
Portugal4-1-3-2Formation4-2-3-1Denmark
  • GK91%1Diogo Costa€40M
  • RB22%Costa€18M
  • CB87%3Rúben Dias€50M
  • CB88%13Renato Veiga€30M
  • LB22%5Diogo Dalot€30M
  • CDM81%23Vitinha€140M
  • RW79%17Pedro Neto€60M
  • CAM58%15João Neves€140M
  • LW81%8Fernandes€35M
  • ST67%9Ramos€50M
  • ST75%11João Félix€28M
  • GK61%16Hermansen€15M
  • LB82%5Mæhle€5M
  • CB74%3Provstgaard€20M
  • CB83%2Andersen€16M
  • RB79%13Kristensen€7.5M
  • CDM87%23Højbjerg€15M
  • CDM87%21Hjulmand€45M
  • LW80%14Damsgaard€30M
  • CAM71%7Froholdt€50M
  • RW76%8Isaksen€15M
  • ST87%9Højlund€60M

Legend

Position codes

FIFA's codes, in English. The color shows the player's line.

  • goalkeeper
    • GKgoalkeeper
  • defense
    • CBcenter-back
    • LB · RBleft-back · right-back
    • LWB · RWBwing-back
  • midfield
    • CDMdefensive midfielder
    • CMcentral midfielder
    • CAMattacking midfielder
    • LM · RMleft · right midfielder
  • attack
    • LW · RWleft · right winger
    • STstriker
    • CFsecond striker

Where the exact position isn't known, only the line: DEF, MID or ATT.

85%how sure the model is that the player starts€40Mthe player's market value (Transfermarkt)

GKgoalkeeperCBdefenseCMmidfieldSTattack

First XI by line

First XI by line

The market value (Transfermarkt) of each team's first XI, added up by line: attack, midfield, defense and goalkeeper.

Portugal
Denmark
attackPortugal: €173MDenmark: €105M
midfieldPortugal: €280MDenmark: €110M
defensePortugal: €128MDenmark: €48.5M
goalkeeperPortugal: €40MDenmark: €15M

Squad strength

Squad strength

How much of the market value of each team's squad (Transfermarkt) is available for this match.

  • available
  • doubtful
  • out: injured or suspended

In the absentees list, the colored values are the ones that count.

  • Portugal€973M of €1.02B available95%
  • Denmark€390M of €430M available91%

Absent

PortugalDenmark
LBNuno Mendes€80Mmuscle injuryChristensen A.CB€8Mthigh injury
LBNuno Tavares€12Mmuscle injuryNelsson V.CB€5Mshoulder injury · doubtful
RBJoão Cancelo€7Myellow cardsJørgensen T.CM€7.5Minjury · doubtful
LWRafael Leão€40Mmuscle injuryEriksen C.MIDunavailable
RWFrancisco Conceição€40Mred cardDorgu P.LW€35Mhamstring injury
Dolberg K.ST€7Mknee injury
Poulsen Y.thigh injury · doubtful

Preview

AI
Portugal vs Denmark Prediction

Portugal vs Denmark prediction, betting tips and odds

The Portugal vs Denmark prediction begins with a new chapter in Braga. On Saturday, November 14, 2026, Portugal host Denmark at 19:45 GMT in Matchday 5 of UEFA Nations League A, Group 4. The Estádio Municipal de Braga will provide the stage, but one familiar figure will be missing.

Portugal begin life after Ronaldo

Cristiano Ronaldo announced his international retirement on November 5, bringing down the curtain on a remarkable 23-year Portugal career. His reported record of 234 appearances and 146 goals leaves an enormous space, both on the pitch and in the dressing room. For the first time, Portugal must build an attack without every move eventually pointing toward number seven.

Jorge Jesus has responded by refreshing his 28-player group. Seven players are new compared with the previous selection, including five promoted from the under-21 side. Samuel Soares, Alberto Costa, Rodrigo Mora, Geovany Quenda and Gustavo Varela are among the notable newcomers. Varela is especially interesting after scoring nine Serie A goals for Monza and arriving as the league’s leading scorer.

Jesus has said the choices reward club performances. Tactically, that may bring more movement across the front line. Portugal should still control possession, use attacking full-backs and press quickly after losing the ball, but responsibility can now be shared rather than placed on one legendary pair of shoulders.

Denmark are unlikely to visit Braga simply to admire the scenery. Their organised midfield and compact defensive shape can slow Portugal’s combinations, while direct transitions may test the space behind the home full-backs. They also have a history of upsetting strong favourites: England were priced at 1.541 before being held to a 1:1 draw by Denmark on June 20, 2024.

Portugal vs Denmark prediction from the NerdyTips AI

The market makes Portugal clear favourites. The home win is offered at 1.54, with the draw at 4.8 and a Denmark victory at 6.5. NerdyTips’ AI also selects Portugal to win in the 1x2 market, carrying odds of 1.54 and a modest trust rating of 1.7. That low score matters: the selection is logical, but hardly a reason to start planning the victory parade.

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Statistics

Average / Match
Portugal
Denmark
Expected GoalsPortugal: 1.6Denmark: 1.75
Total GoalsPortugal: 2.7Denmark: 3.5
Goals ScoredPortugal: 1.9Denmark: 1.9
Goals AgainstPortugal: 0.8Denmark: 1.6
PossessionPortugal: 56%Denmark: 60%
Total ShotsPortugal: 14.9Denmark: 17.4
Shots on GoalPortugal: 4.9Denmark: 5.7
Shots off GoalPortugal: 6.3Denmark: 6.7
FoulsPortugal: 9.9Denmark: 8.8
CornersPortugal: 5Denmark: 5.7
OffsidesPortugal: 2.2Denmark: 1.8
Yellow CardsPortugal: 2.1Denmark: 1.2
Total PassesPortugal: 537Denmark: 582

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
Portugal
Denmark
WinsPortugal: 7Denmark: 4
Over 1.5 GoalsPortugal: 7Denmark: 8
Over 2.5 GoalsPortugal: 6Denmark: 7
Over 3.5 GoalsPortugal: 2Denmark: 6
Both Teams ScoredPortugal: 6Denmark: 6
Unexpected WinsPortugal: 0Denmark: 0
Unexpected LosesPortugal: 0Denmark: 0

H2H

Total meetings 4
Portugal
Denmark
3Wins
0Draws
1Wins
Recent meetings 4
4.8Goals per match
75%Both Teams Scored
75%Over 2.5 Goals
3Portugal0Draws1Denmark
Oct 01 2026: Denmark 2–4 Portugal
Mar 23 2025: Portugal 5–2 Denmark
Mar 20 2025: Denmark 1–0 Portugal
Jun 13 2012: Denmark 2–3 Portugal

Scores as played, home team first

Recent Matches

Standings

World - UEFA Nations League
# Team M G P
1 Portugal 4 9-4 12
2 Denmark 4 7-7 6
3 Wales 4 2-5 3
4 Norway 4 6-8 3
Play Offs: Quarter-finals Possible Play-off Possible Relegation