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Sweden vs Poland Prediction - Sep 28, 2026

World UEFA Nations League
Sweden €425.80m
Sep 2819:45
3:1
Finished
Poland €234.50m
12.05 X3.80 23.70

Key moments

  1. 1st half1–1
  2. Sweden · Goal Nygren B.Assist Lindelof V.1–08'
  3. 43'Poland · Goal 1–1Szymanski S.Assist Zalewski N.
  4. 2nd half2–0
  5. Sweden · Goal Ayari Y.Assist Nanasi S.2–163'
  6. Sweden · Goal Gyokeres V.Assist Walemark P.3–172'
Match Tips Statistics Form H2H Recent Matches Standings

Match Tips

Confidence
Best Tip
Over 1.5 1.22
At least 2 goals scored
8.0/10
1x2 Tip
X3.80
2.0/10
Total Goals
Over 1.51.22
8.0/10
Both Teams To Score
Yes1.58
1.7/10
Bet Builder Tip
1X & Over 1.51.55
1.0/10
Correct Score
Sweden11Poland

Stats: predicted vs actual

AI
Sweden
Poland
xGSweden: 1.18Poland: 1.05
Ball PossessionSweden: 52%Poland: 48%
Total ShotsSweden: 11Poland: 11
Shots on GoalSweden: 5Poland: 5
Shots Off GoalSweden: 4Poland: 3
CornersSweden: 4Poland: 5
Yellow CardsSweden: 1Poland: 3
xGSweden: 2.14Poland: 0.91
Ball PossessionSweden: 53%Poland: 47%
Total ShotsSweden: 12Poland: 18
Shots on GoalSweden: 6Poland: 7
Shots Off GoalSweden: 5Poland: 6
CornersSweden: 4Poland: 4
Yellow CardsSweden: 1Poland: 3
xGSweden: 2.141.18Poland: 0.911.05
Ball PossessionSweden: 53%52%Poland: 47%48%
Total ShotsSweden: 1211Poland: 1811
Shots on GoalSweden: 65Poland: 75
Shots Off GoalSweden: 54Poland: 63
CornersSweden: 44Poland: 45
Yellow CardsSweden: 11Poland: 33

Statistics

Average / Match
Sweden
Poland
Expected GoalsSweden: 1.09Poland: 1.19
Total GoalsSweden: 3.9Poland: 2.8
Goals ScoredSweden: 1.9Poland: 1.6
Goals AgainstSweden: 2Poland: 1.2
PossessionSweden: 47%Poland: 52%
Total ShotsSweden: 11Poland: 14.4
Shots on GoalSweden: 4.8Poland: 5
Shots off GoalSweden: 3.7Poland: 4.8
FoulsSweden: 9.2Poland: 12.2
CornersSweden: 3.3Poland: 6.2
OffsidesSweden: 1.7Poland: 1.8
Yellow CardsSweden: 1.22Poland: 1.8
Total PassesSweden: 429Poland: 457

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
Sweden
Poland
WinsSweden: 4Poland: 5
Over 1.5 GoalsSweden: 10Poland: 8
Over 2.5 GoalsSweden: 8Poland: 5
Over 3.5 GoalsSweden: 6Poland: 4
Both Teams ScoredSweden: 9Poland: 6
Unexpected WinsSweden: 0Poland: 0
Unexpected LosesSweden: 0Poland: 0

H2H

Total meetings 3
Sweden
Poland
2Wins
0Draws
1Wins
Recent meetings 3
4.0Goals per match
67%Both Teams Scored
67%Over 2.5 Goals
2Sweden0Draws1Poland
Mar 31 2026: Sweden 3–2 Poland
Mar 29 2022: Poland 2–0 Sweden
Jun 23 2021: Sweden 3–2 Poland

Scores as played, home team first

Recent Matches

Sweden WDWWL
WOct 05RomaniaSweden013.952.02DOct 02Bosnia-Herz.Sweden112.772.52WSep 28SwedenPoland312.053.70WSep 25SwedenRomania211.506.75LJun 30FranceSweden301.3410.25DJun 26JapanSweden112.303.55LJun 20NetherlandsSweden511.785.10WJun 15SwedenTunisia511.915.00DJun 04SwedenGreece221.954.20LJun 01NorwaySweden311.724.75
Poland LWLDD
LOct 05Bosnia-Herz.Poland103.302.32WOct 02PolandRomania601.626.00LSep 28SwedenPoland312.053.70DSep 25PolandBosnia-Herz.001.626.00DJun 03PolandNigeria222.024.35LMay 31PolandUkraine022.004.30LMar 31SwedenPoland322.183.75WMar 26PolandAlbania211.676.50WNov 17MaltaPoland2311.751.34DNov 14PolandNetherlands114.351.88

Standings

World - UEFA Nations League
# Team M G P
1 Sweden 4 7-3 10
2 Bosnia 4 6-3 8
3 Poland 4 7-4 4
4 Romania 4 3-13 0
Promotion Promotion Play-offs Relegation Playoffs