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Sweden vs Bosnia Prediction - Nov 14, 2026

Sweden €451.30m
Nov 1419:45
VS
Bosnia €189.50m
11.57 X4.55 26.10

Match Tips

Confidence

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Best Tip
8.8/10
1x2 Tip
8.8/10
Total Goals
4.0/10
Both Teams To Score
1.3/10
Bet Builder Tip
6.5/10
Half-Time Score
Correct Score

Stats Predictions

AI
Sweden
Bosnia
xGSweden: 1.42Bosnia: 0.82
Ball PossessionSweden: 58%Bosnia: 42%
Total ShotsSweden: 13Bosnia: 8
Shots on GoalSweden: 5Bosnia: 2
Shots Off GoalSweden: 5Bosnia: 3
CornersSweden: 4Bosnia: 3
Yellow CardsSweden: 1Bosnia: 3
OffsidesSweden: 1Bosnia: 1
FoulsSweden: 9Bosnia: 15

Predicted Lineups

Updated Nov 13 19:44 Refreshed daily until the official lineups are announced
Sweden4-4-2Formation4-4-2Bosnia
  • GK72%12Johansson€14M
  • RB44%2Felix Beijmo€3M
  • CB48%2Lagerbielke€10M
  • CB88%3Lindelöf€5M
  • LB47%8Svensson€22M
  • RM76%21Bernhardsson€4.5M
  • CM67%16Karlström€4M
  • CM69%18Ayari€45M
  • LM64%19Nanasi€15M
  • ST88%17Gyökeres€55M
  • ST53%9Isak€90M
  • GK59%22Zlomislic€2M
  • LB88%5Kolasinac€4M
  • CB37%21Radeljic€2.8M
  • CB88%18Katic€2M
  • RB77%15Memic€6M
  • LM74%19Alajbegovic€32M
  • CM72%8Gigovic€2.5M
  • CM80%13Basic€1.5M
  • RM71%11Bajraktarevic€10M
  • ST63%23Tabakovic€3.5M
  • ST81%10Demirovic€22M

Legend

Position codes

FIFA's codes, in English. The color shows the player's line.

  • goalkeeper
    • GKgoalkeeper
  • defense
    • CBcenter-back
    • LB · RBleft-back · right-back
    • LWB · RWBwing-back
  • midfield
    • CDMdefensive midfielder
    • CMcentral midfielder
    • CAMattacking midfielder
    • LM · RMleft · right midfielder
  • attack
    • LW · RWleft · right winger
    • STstriker
    • CFsecond striker

Where the exact position isn't known, only the line: DEF, MID or ATT.

85%how sure the model is that the player starts€14Mthe player's market value (Transfermarkt)

GKgoalkeeperCBdefenseCMmidfieldSTattack

First XI by line

First XI by line

The market value (Transfermarkt) of each team's first XI, added up by line: attack, midfield, defense and goalkeeper.

Sweden
Bosnia
attackSweden: €145MBosnia: €25.5M
midfieldSweden: €68.5MBosnia: €46M
defenseSweden: €40MBosnia: €14.8M
goalkeeperSweden: €14MBosnia: €2M

Squad strength

Squad strength

How much of the market value of each team's squad (Transfermarkt) is available for this match.

  • available
  • doubtful
  • out: injured or suspended

In the absentees list, the colored values are the ones that count.

  • Sweden€339M of €436M available78%
  • Bosnia€148M of €188M available79%

Absent

SwedenBosnia
LBGudmundsson G.€25Mhamstring injuryHadzikadunic D.CB€1.2Mcalf injury
CBHien I.€22Mmuscle injuryMuharemovic T.CB€40Myellow cards
CBStarfelt C.€4.5Mmuscle injury
CBJohn Mellberg€2Mhamstring injury
RBEmil Holm€10Mthigh injury
CMBergvall L.€40Mknee injury
CMSvanberg M.€5Munavailable
CMZeneli B.€10Minjury
LWHugo Bolin€7.5Mmuscle injury
LWStroud E.€8Mhamstring injury

Preview

AI
Sweden vs Bosnia Prediction

Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction and odds

Our Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction points towards a home victory in Stockholm. The UEFA Nations League fixture kicks off at 19:45 GMT on Saturday, November 14, 2026, with Sweden entering as the clear betting favourite.

The match will take place at the Strawberry Arena in Solna, the ground formerly known as Friends Arena. Sweden should feel comfortable in these surroundings and are expected to control the ball from the opening minutes. Their squad is valued at €451.30m, well above Bosnia’s €189.50m, giving the hosts more quality and depth across the pitch.

Tactically, Sweden are likely to build patiently before looking for quick passes into attacking areas. The hosts should also press Bosnia when possession is lost. That approach could force the visitors to defend deep, particularly during the first half. Sweden’s predicted 58% possession supports the idea of a match played mainly on their terms.

Bosnia & Herzegovina, however, cannot be dismissed. They showed their defensive discipline away to Poland on September 25, 2026, earning a 0:0 draw despite pre-match win odds reaching 6.10. That surprise result suggests Bosnia can stay organised against a stronger home team. Their plan in Stockholm may again involve a compact shape, careful defending and fast counterattacks.

The head to head angle matters less than the current balance of the two squads. Sweden have the stronger market value and home advantage, while Bosnia’s recent result in Poland shows why this may not be a simple evening. In other words, Sweden should win, but Bosnia could make them work for it.

Betting odds, match stats and the best tip

The latest 1x2 betting odds strongly favour the home side. Our AI agrees with the market and selects Sweden to win as the main sports betting option.

  • Home win: 1.57
  • Draw: 4.55
  • Away win: 6.1
  • Best tip: Sweden to win at 1.57
  • Trust score: 8.8/10

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Statistics

Average / Match
Sweden
Bosnia
Expected GoalsSweden: 1.18Bosnia: 0.76
Total GoalsSweden: 3.5Bosnia: 2.4
Goals ScoredSweden: 1.7Bosnia: 1.2
Goals AgainstSweden: 1.8Bosnia: 1.2
PossessionSweden: 49%Bosnia: 49%
Total ShotsSweden: 11.2Bosnia: 9
Shots on GoalSweden: 4.9Bosnia: 2.9
Shots off GoalSweden: 4.2Bosnia: 3.3
FoulsSweden: 9.1Bosnia: 13
CornersSweden: 3.1Bosnia: 3.9
OffsidesSweden: 1.5Bosnia: 1.2
Yellow CardsSweden: 1.13Bosnia: 1.89
Total PassesSweden: 463Bosnia: 443

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
Sweden
Bosnia
WinsSweden: 4Bosnia: 3
Over 1.5 GoalsSweden: 9Bosnia: 7
Over 2.5 GoalsSweden: 7Bosnia: 3
Over 3.5 GoalsSweden: 5Bosnia: 3
Both Teams ScoredSweden: 8Bosnia: 6
Unexpected WinsSweden: 0Bosnia: 0
Unexpected LosesSweden: 0Bosnia: 0

H2H

Total meetings 1
Sweden
Bosnia
0Wins
1Draws
0Wins
Recent meetings 1
2.0Goals per match
100%Both Teams Scored
0%Over 2.5 Goals
0Sweden1Draws0Bosnia
Oct 02 2026: Bosnia 1–1 Sweden

Scores as played, home team first

Recent Matches

Standings

World - UEFA Nations League
# Team M G P
1 Sweden 4 7-3 10
2 Bosnia 4 6-3 8
3 Poland 4 7-4 4
4 Romania 4 3-13 0
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